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Mega Sport v Tanta SC
Mega Sport
Tanta SCSecond League · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 35%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: the draw 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 33–35–32
- 1′KICK-OFF Mega Sport v Tanta SC
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 45% now
- 42′We said the draw at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 47%. 0–0 · 27–47–26
- 45′HALF-TIME Mega Sport 0–0 Tanta SC
- 46′SECOND HALF Mega Sport 0–0 Tanta SC
- 47′We said the draw at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 50%. 0–0 · 26–50–25
- 55′We said the draw at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 55%. 0–0 · 23–55–22
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 55% now
- 56′A goal for Mega Sport on 56′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–18–4
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Mega Sport 1–0 Tanta SC
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 18% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Mega Sport win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 55%)
- 57′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 78–18–4
- 58′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 79–18–3
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
- 69′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
- 70′Tanta SC score on 69′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 16–68–16
- 70′We said the draw at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–1 · 16–68–16
- 70′Mega Sport find the net on 70′. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Mega Sport 1–1 Tanta SC
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 68% now
- 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Mega Sport win 84%)
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Mega Sport 2–1 Tanta SC
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 14% now
- 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Mega Sport win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 68%)
- 71′3 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 85–14–1
- 79′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
- 88′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
- 96′A goal for Tanta SC on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 1–98–1
- 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Mega Sport 2–2 Tanta SC
- 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+6' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 98% now
- 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Mega Sport win 99%)
- 97′We said the draw at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–2 · 1–98–1
- FTFULL TIME Mega Sport 2–2 Tanta SC
- FTMega Sport 2–2 Tanta SC · Draw: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Mega Sport 33%, draw 35%, Tanta SC 32%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Mega Sport win33%
Tanta SC win32%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 10
Match timeline
All events
Mega SportMIN
Tanta SCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Mega Sport
Tanta SC
Last match: 16 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Last match: 15 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 35% chance. The market has it at 32%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Sport win | 33% | 32% | +1 |
| Draw | 35% | 32% | +3 |
| Tanta SC win | 32% | 36% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 34% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 43% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 60% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 16% | −3 |
| Mega Sport or draw | 68% | 64% | +4 |
| Mega Sport clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Tanta SC clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 10 Sept
MEGA SPORT
TANTA SC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 9 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pharco | 9 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Itesalat | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Kahraba Ismailia | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 6 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | AL Nasr SC | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | Tersana | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 | El Mansura | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 9 | −2 | 12 |
| 11 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | El Entag EL Harby | 9 | +2 | 10 |
| 13 | Ismaily SC | 9 | −3 | 10 |
| 14 | Team | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 15 | Tanta SC | 9 | −4 | 9 |
| 16 | El Dakhleya | 9 | −6 | 9 |
| 17 | Proxy | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 18 | Dayrout | 9 | −12 | 6 |
| 19 | La Viena FC | 9 | −7 | 4 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 9 | −11 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Masar
Haras El Hodood
Pharco
Itesalat
Kahraba Ismailia
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
AL Nasr SC
Tersana
El Mansura
El Seka El Hadid
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
El Entag EL Harby
Ismaily SC
Team
El Dakhleya
Proxy
Dayrout
La Viena FC