Kahraba Ismailia v Masar prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kahraba IsmailiaDrawMasar

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Kahraba Ismailia 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kahraba Ismailia are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kahraba Ismailia 44%, draw 27%, Masar 29%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Kahraba Ismailia v MasarBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kahraba Ismailia win44%

Draw27%

Masar win29%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kahraba Ismailia

Masar

7Days since last match6

Last match: 22 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

Last match: 23 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kahraba ismailia winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Kahraba Ismailia a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kahraba Ismailia v Masar~~1.62 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 18 v 22~~5 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Kahraba Ismailia win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kahraba Ismailia win	44%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Masar win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Kahraba Ismailia or draw	71%	–	–
Kahraba Ismailia clean sheet	29%	–	–
Masar clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 7.6 5.7 4.6 1 7.4 12.7 7.1 3.1 2 7.1 8.8 5.6 2.4 3 3.9 4.8 3.0 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kahraba Ismailia down, Masar across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,547 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Kahraba Ismailia at home: 2.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Masar away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Kahraba Ismailia, 1.28 for Masar. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 18 Sept

KAHRABA ISMAILIA

WWWDLD1–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–0

MASAR

DWLWLW1–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	10	+11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	+8	20
3	Itesalat	10	+7	19
4	Pharco	10	+4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	+8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	+6	17
8	Tersana	10	+5	17
9	El Mansura	10	+2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	0	12
12	Team	10	−5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	−6	7
19	Dayrout	10	−16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3