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Model 1.1
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Itesalat v El Mansura

Itesalat
0–1Full time
El Mansura

Second League · FRI 9 OCT · Telecom Egypt Club Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:01
Itesalat 0–1 El Mansura ITESALAT WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Itesalat win37%
The market said45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.799
The market’s Brier score0.908

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Itesalat win37%
Draw36%
El Mansura win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:30

Venue · Telecom Egypt Club Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · itesalat winPublished 9 Oct 13:32
37% The market45%
Us37%
Market45%

We make Itesalat a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–0.8.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Itesalat win37%45%−8
Draw36%32%+3
El Mansura win27%23%+4
Over 2.5 goals28%33%−4
Both teams to score37%39%−2
Over 1.5 goals57%58%−1
Over 3.5 goals12%16%−4
Itesalat or draw73%77%−4
Itesalat clean sheet44%––
El Mansura clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.9%
0123450 17.9 11.2 5.4 1 14.2 14.8 5.4 2 8.1 6.6 2.8 3 2.8 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Itesalat down, El Mansura across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsELM 2–2 ITE · ITE 0–0 ELM · ITE 0–3 ELM · ELM 0–3 ITE

Form · last six in Second League

ITESALAT

WWWLWW2–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

EL MANSURA

LWDDLW0–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Masar8+1019
2Haras El Hodood8+818
3Kahraba Ismailia8+917
4Itesalat7+615
5Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat7+514
6AL Nasr SC8+513
7Pharco7+213
8Tersana8+113
9El Mansura7+111
10El Seka El Hadid8−211
11El Dakhleya8−49
12Baladiyyat Al Mehalla708
13Tanta SC7−38
14El Entag EL Harby7+17
15Team7−37
16Ismaily SC7−46
17Dayrout8−125
18Proxy8−84
19La Viena FC7−53
20Mega Sport8−72

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.