El Seka El Hadid v Tanta SC prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

El Seka El HadidDrawTanta SC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · El Seka El Hadid 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

El Seka El Hadid are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: El Seka El Hadid 44%, draw 33%, Tanta SC 23%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on El Seka El Hadid v Tanta SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

El Seka El Hadid win44%

Draw33%

Tanta SC win23%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueAl-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

El Seka El Hadid

Tanta SC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · el seka el hadid winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make El Seka El Hadid a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · El Seka El Hadid v Tanta SC~~1.24 – 0.81

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 10~~10 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
El Seka El Hadid win	44%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Tanta SC win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
El Seka El Hadid or draw	77%	–	–
El Seka El Hadid clean sheet	45%	–	–
Tanta SC clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.1%

0123450 15.1 8.7 4.3 1 14.1 14.4 5.2 2 9.8 7.8 3.2 3 4.1 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+El Seka El Hadid down, Tanta SC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,547 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.83 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

El Seka El Hadid at home: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Tanta SC away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for El Seka El Hadid, 0.81 for Tanta SC. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.83

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~TAN 1–3 ELS · ELS 0–0 TAN · TAN 1–2 ELS · ELS 1–0 TAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept

EL SEKA EL HADID

WLWDDW1–0 · 1–3 · 5–4 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 5–1

TANTA SC

WDLLDD1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	10	+11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	+8	20
3	Itesalat	10	+7	19
4	Pharco	10	+4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	+8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	+6	17
8	Tersana	10	+5	17
9	El Mansura	10	+2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	0	12
12	Team	10	−5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	−6	7
19	Dayrout	10	−16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3