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El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SC
El Seka El Hadid
Ismaily SCSecond League · FRI 16 OCT · Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said El Seka El Hadid win at 43%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: El Seka El Hadid 43% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
- 1′KICK-OFF El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SC
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was El Seka El Hadid win 35%)
- 45′HALF-TIME El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC
- 46′SECOND HALF El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 55′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–47–22
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–47–22
- 59′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
- 67′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 74′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
- 79′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 84′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
- 91′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC
- FTEl Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC · El Seka El Hadid win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassEl Seka El Hadid are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: El Seka El Hadid 43%, draw 30%, Ismaily SC 27%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
El Seka El Hadid win43%
Ismaily SC win27%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueAl-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium
Match timeline
All events
El Seka El HadidMIN
Ismaily SCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
El Seka El Hadid
Ismaily SC
Last match: 8 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make El Seka El Hadid a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Seka El Hadid win | 43% | 36% | +7 |
| Draw | 30% | 33% | −3 |
| Ismaily SC win | 27% | 31% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 36% | +10 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 44% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 61% | +12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 19% | +6 |
| El Seka El Hadid or draw | 73% | 69% | +4 |
| El Seka El Hadid clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Ismaily SC clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 Sept
EL SEKA EL HADID
ISMAILY SC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Itesalat | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kahraba Ismailia | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | AL Nasr SC | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Pharco | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | El Mansura | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Tersana | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 11 | El Entag EL Harby | 8 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Team | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 13 | Ismaily SC | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 14 | Tanta SC | 9 | −4 | 9 |
| 15 | El Dakhleya | 9 | −6 | 9 |
| 16 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 17 | Dayrout | 9 | −12 | 6 |
| 18 | La Viena FC | 9 | −7 | 4 |
| 19 | Proxy | 8 | −8 | 4 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 8 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Masar
Haras El Hodood
Itesalat
Kahraba Ismailia
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
AL Nasr SC
Pharco
El Mansura
Tersana
El Entag EL Harby
Team
Tanta SC
El Dakhleya
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Dayrout
La Viena FC
Proxy
Mega Sport