Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Second League › El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SC

Back
Egypt flag

El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SC

El Seka El Hadid
0–0Full time
Ismaily SC

Second League · FRI 16 OCT · Al-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 16:02
El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC EL SEKA EL HADID WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said El Seka El Hadid win43%
The market said36%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.757
The market’s Brier score0.667

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said El Seka El Hadid win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: El Seka El Hadid 43% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SC
  4. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was El Seka El Hadid win 35%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC
  6. 46′SECOND HALF El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC
  7. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  8. 55′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–47–22
  9. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–47–22
  10. 59′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
  11. 67′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–58–18
  12. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  13. 74′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
  14. 79′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–75–11
  15. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  16. 84′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
  17. 91′We said El Seka El Hadid at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
  18. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' El Seka El Hadid win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  19. FTFULL TIME El Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC
  20. FTEl Seka El Hadid 0–0 Ismaily SC · El Seka El Hadid win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

El Seka El Hadid are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: El Seka El Hadid 43%, draw 30%, Ismaily SC 27%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

El Seka El Hadid win43%
Draw30%
Ismaily SC win27%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueAl-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

El Seka El Hadid

Ismaily SC

8Days since last match7

Last match: 8 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10El Seka El Hadid8−211
13Ismaily SC8−39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · el seka el hadid winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
43% The market36%
Us43%
Market36%

We make El Seka El Hadid a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · El Seka El Hadid v Ismaily SC1.44 – 1.10
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W2 D3 L1
Table places · points 11 v 910 v 13
The market · El Seka El Hadid win36% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 10 OCT 03:5516 OCT 13:07
Our probability · El Seka El Hadid win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
El Seka El Hadid win43%36%+7
Draw30%33%−3
Ismaily SC win27%31%−4
Over 2.5 goals46%36%+10
Both teams to score52%44%+8
Over 1.5 goals73%61%+12
Over 3.5 goals25%19%+6
El Seka El Hadid or draw73%69%+4
El Seka El Hadid clean sheet34%––
Ismaily SC clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%
0123450 10.0 7.1 4.8 1 9.7 13.8 6.7 2.5 2 8.1 8.6 4.8 3 3.9 4.2 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+El Seka El Hadid down, Ismaily SC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 Sept

EL SEKA EL HADID

DLWLWD1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 5–4 · 1–1

ISMAILY SC

DDLWDW1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Masar8+1019
2Haras El Hodood9+819
3Itesalat9+718
4Kahraba Ismailia9+817
5Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat8+617
6AL Nasr SC9+616
7Pharco8+516
8El Mansura9+114
9Tersana8+113
10El Seka El Hadid8−211
11El Entag EL Harby8+310
12Team9−510
13Ismaily SC8−39
14Tanta SC9−49
15El Dakhleya9−69
16Baladiyyat Al Mehalla8−18
17Dayrout9−126
18La Viena FC9−74
19Proxy8−84
20Mega Sport8−72

The competition's standings before kick-off.