El Mansura v AL Nasr SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 36%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: the draw 36% before kick-off, 33% now. 0–0 · 35–33–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF El Mansura v AL Nasr SC
4. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was El Mansura win 32%)
5. 32′El Mansura score on 32′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–21–7
6. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' El Mansura 1–0 AL Nasr SC
7. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' El Mansura win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
9. 33′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 72–21–7
10. 33′GOAL DISALLOWED · 33' El Mansura
11. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 43% now
12. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was El Mansura win 29%)
13. 34′El Mansura score on 34′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–21–7
14. 34′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 72–21–7
15. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' El Mansura 1–0 AL Nasr SC
16. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 21% now
17. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' El Mansura win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
18. 45′HALF-TIME El Mansura 1–0 AL Nasr SC
19. 46′SECOND HALF El Mansura 1–0 AL Nasr SC
20. 49′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 76–19–4
21. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
22. 66′AL Nasr SC find the net on 66′. 1–1. 1–1 · 18–65–17
23. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' El Mansura 1–1 AL Nasr SC
24. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 65% now
25. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was El Mansura win 18%)
26. 67′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–1 · 17–66–17
27. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 66% now
28. 71′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–1 · 15–70–15
29. 73′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 87–12–1
30. 74′GOAL DISALLOWED · 74' AL Nasr SC
31. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 12% now
32. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' El Mansura win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
33. 75′AL Nasr SC find the net on 75′. 1–1. 1–1 · 13–75–12
34. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' El Mansura 1–1 AL Nasr SC
35. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 75% now
36. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Draw is now our likeliest result at 75% (was El Mansura win 13%)
37. 76′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–1 · 12–77–11
38. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 77% now
39. 79′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–1 · 10–81–9
40. 82′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–1 · 7–85–7
41. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 87% now
42. 85′We said the draw at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–1 · 5–90–5
43. 90′A goal for AL Nasr SC on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–3–97
44. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' El Mansura 1–2 AL Nasr SC
45. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 3% now
46. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' AL Nasr SC win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
47. 91′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–2 · 0–2–97
48. 91′3 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–2–97
49. FTFULL TIME El Mansura 1–2 AL Nasr SC
50. FTEl Mansura 1–2 AL Nasr SC · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.