El Dakhleya v El Entag EL Harby prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

El DakhleyaDrawEl Entag EL Harby

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · El Entag EL Harby 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with El Entag EL Harby just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: El Dakhleya 35%, draw 28%, El Entag EL Harby 37%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on El Dakhleya v El Entag EL HarbyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

El Dakhleya win35%

Draw28%

El Entag EL Harby win37%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenuePolice Academy Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

El Dakhleya

El Entag EL Harby

7Days since last match6

Last match: 22 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

Last match: 23 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · el entag el harby winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make El Entag EL Harby a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · El Dakhleya v El Entag EL Harby~~1.38 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 10~~16 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · El Entag EL Harby win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
El Dakhleya win	35%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
El Entag EL Harby win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
El Dakhleya or draw	63%	–	–
El Dakhleya clean sheet	25%	–	–
El Entag EL Harby clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 8.1 7.1 6.2 3.0 1 6.8 13.3 8.2 4.0 2 5.7 7.9 5.6 2.7 3 2.7 3.7 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+El Dakhleya down, El Entag EL Harby across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,547 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

El Dakhleya at home: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). El Entag EL Harby away: 1.83 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for El Dakhleya, 1.43 for El Entag EL Harby. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ELD 1–3 ELE · ELE 2–3 ELD · ELE 0–2 ELD · ELD 2–1 ELE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept

EL DAKHLEYA

LWWLLD1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–2

EL ENTAG EL HARBY

WDLWLL3–0 · 0–0 · 4–5 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	10	+11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	+8	20
3	Itesalat	10	+7	19
4	Pharco	10	+4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	+8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	+6	17
8	Tersana	10	+5	17
9	El Mansura	10	+2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	0	12
12	Team	10	−5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	−6	7
19	Dayrout	10	−16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3