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Baladiyyat Al Mehalla v Masar
Baladiyyat Al MehallaMasarSecond League · FRI 16 OCT · El Mahalla Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Masar win at 41%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Masar was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 28–29–43
- 1′KICK-OFF Baladiyyat Al Mehalla v Masar
- 35′A goal for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla on 35′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–25–11
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–0 Masar
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Masar win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Masar win 11%)
- 36′We said Masar at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 11%. 1–0 · 65–25–11
- 37′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 65–24–11
- 42′We said Masar at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
- 45′HALF-TIME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–0 Masar
- 46′Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score on 46′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 92–7–2
- 46′SECOND HALF Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1–0 Masar
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2–0 Masar
- 47′We said Masar at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 92–7–1
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Masar win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
- 62′Masar find the net on 61′. 2–1. 2–1 · 75–20–4
- 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2–1 Masar
- 63′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 76–20–4
- FTFULL TIME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2–1 Masar
- FTBaladiyyat Al Mehalla 2–1 Masar · Masar win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMasar are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 27%, draw 33%, Masar 41%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win27%Masar win41%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueEl Mahalla Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Baladiyyat Al MehallaMINMasarEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Masar
Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Last match: 8 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 16 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 8 | −1 | 8 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Masar a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| Draw | 33% | 31% | +2 |
| Masar win | 41% | 44% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 39% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 45% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 64% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 21% | −4 |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw | 59% | 56% | +3 |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Masar clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 4 Sept
BALADIYYAT AL MEHALLA
MASAR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 |  Haras El Hodood | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Itesalat | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 |  Kahraba Ismailia | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  AL Nasr SC | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 |  Pharco | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 |  El Mansura | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Tersana | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  El Seka El Hadid | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 11 |  El Entag EL Harby | 8 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Team | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Ismaily SC | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Tanta SC | 9 | −4 | 9 |
| 15 |  El Dakhleya | 9 | −6 | 9 |
| 16 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dayrout | 9 | −12 | 6 |
| 18 |  La Viena FC | 9 | −7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Proxy | 8 | −8 | 4 |
| 20 |  Mega Sport | 8 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.