Wadi Degla v National Bank of Egypt

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Wadi Degla win at 36%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Wadi Degla 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–31–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Wadi Degla v National Bank of Egypt
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Wadi Degla
5. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' Mahmoud El Gazzar · National Bank of Egypt
6. 16′15′: Omar Adly on the scoresheet for Wadi Degla, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–12
7. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Wadi Degla 1–0 National Bank of Egypt · Omar Adly
8. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Wadi Degla win: 36% at kick-off, 69% now
9. 17′We said Wadi Degla at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–20–12
10. 18′🟥 RED CARD · 17' Ahmed Ayman · Wadi Degla
11. 19′Wadi Degla are down to ten from 17′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 69–20–11
12. 25′We said Wadi Degla at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
13. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 70–20–10
14. 30′SUBSTITUTION · 30' Wadi Degla · On: Ahmed Abdin · Off: Hamza Hassan
15. 44′SUBSTITUTION · 43' National Bank of Egypt · On: Salah Abd Etouab Bouchama · Off: Karim Hamed
16. 45′HALF-TIME Wadi Degla 1–0 National Bank of Egypt
17. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Wadi Degla · On: Ahmed Refaat · Off: Ziad Osama Zizo
18. 45′SECOND HALF Wadi Degla 1–0 National Bank of Egypt
19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45+1' National Bank of Egypt · On: Mohamed Ashraf Ben Sharqi · Off: Hisham Saleh Corrected
20. 51′We said Wadi Degla at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
21. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 52' National Bank of Egypt · On: Mostafa Dowidar · Off: Mahmoud El Gazzar
22. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Mohamed Naser · National Bank of Egypt
23. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 52' National Bank of Egypt · On: Yaw Annor · Off: Mohamed Naser
24. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Wadi Degla win: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
25. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Wadi Degla 1–1 National Bank of Egypt
26. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Wadi Degla win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
27. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Wadi Degla win 76%)
28. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Wadi Degla win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
29. 59′National Bank of Egypt level it on 56′ through Salah Abd Etouab Bouchama. 1–1. 1–1 · 25–52–23
30. 60′We said Wadi Degla at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–22
31. 61′10 shots for National Bank of Egypt, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 24–54–22
32. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Wadi Degla · On: Youssef Oya · Off: Mohamed Said
33. 69′12 shots for National Bank of Egypt, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 20–62–18
34. 71′We said Wadi Degla at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–65–17
35. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Wadi Degla win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
36. 77′We said Wadi Degla at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–13
37. 82′We said Wadi Degla at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
38. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Wadi Degla · On: Adel Mahmoud · Off: Ahmed Scholes
39. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Wadi Degla · On: Islam Adel · Off: Ibrahim Mohamed El Bahnasi
40. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Wadi Degla win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
41. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' National Bank of Egypt · On: Ahmed Amin Aoufa · Off: Mostafa Shalaby
42. 89′We said Wadi Degla at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–91–4
43. 95′16 shots for National Bank of Egypt, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 1–97–1
44. FTFULL TIME Wadi Degla 1–1 National Bank of Egypt
45. FTWadi Degla 1–1 National Bank of Egypt · Wadi Degla win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.