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Pyramids FC v Ceramica Cleopatra

Pyramids FC

4–1Full time

Ceramica Cleopatra

Premier League · MON 12 OCT · 30 June Stadium

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 20:30

Pyramids FC 4–1 Ceramica Cleopatra PYRAMIDS FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Pyramids FC win~~52%

~~The market said~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.354

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.197

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 43 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Pyramids FC win at 52%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Pyramids FC 52% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
7′A. Magdy scores for Ceramica Cleopatra on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 27–25–48
9′We said Pyramids FC at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–1 · 26–25–49
15′We said Pyramids FC at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–50
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 24% now
16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Ceramica Cleopatra win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Pyramids FC win 24%)
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 53% now
16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Pyramids FC win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Ceramica Cleopatra win 22%)
17′14′ and it is 1–1: M. Ziko on the scoresheet for Pyramids FC. 1–1 · 50–28–22
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 24% now
17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Ceramica Cleopatra win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Pyramids FC win 24%)
17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 53% now
17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Pyramids FC win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Ceramica Cleopatra win 22%)
19′Little has changed for our model: Pyramids FC 52% before kick-off, 49% now. 1–1 · 49–29–22
21′Pyramids FC ahead on 20′ through N. Benbouali. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–15–6
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Pyramids FC 2–1 Ceramica Cleopatra · N. Benbouali
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 53% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
24′We said Pyramids FC at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 2–1 · 78–16–6
31′We said Pyramids FC at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–1 · 79–16–5
32′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–16–5
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Pyramids FC 3–1 Ceramica Cleopatra · M. Lasheen
40′M. Lasheen scores for Pyramids FC on 37′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 95% now
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 95% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 95% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' W. El Karti · Pyramids FC
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Pyramids FC win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
45′HALF-TIME Pyramids FC 3–1 Ceramica Cleopatra
46′SECOND HALF Pyramids FC 3–1 Ceramica Cleopatra
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Ceramica Cleopatra · On: Beckham · Off: A. Magdy
58′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Pyramids FC · On: M. Saber · Off: M. Fathi
59′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Pyramids FC · On: Y. Obama · Off: N. Benbouali
60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Ceramica Cleopatra · On: M. Otaka · Off: K. Amr
60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Ceramica Cleopatra · On: K. Al Nabris · Off: A. Mukka
61′🟨 YELLOW · 62' N. Maher · Pyramids FC
64′🟨 YELLOW · 65' H. El Sayed · Ceramica Cleopatra
68′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Pyramids FC · On: A. Magdi · Off: M. Ziko
69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Pyramids FC · On: Zalaka · Off: N. Maher
69′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Beckham · Ceramica Cleopatra
71′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Ceramica Cleopatra · On: S. Awujoola · Off: Bobo
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Ceramica Cleopatra · On: A. Belhadji · Off: P. Gwargis
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Pyramids FC 4–1 Ceramica Cleopatra · M. Lasheen
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Pyramids FC 4–1 Ceramica Cleopatra · Y. Obama
80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Pyramids FC · On: E. El Askalany · Off: K. Hafez
85′🟥 RED CARD · 86' J. Arthur · Ceramica Cleopatra
86′🟥 RED CARD · 86' J. Arthur · Ceramica Cleopatra
FTFULL TIME Pyramids FC 4–1 Ceramica Cleopatra
FTPyramids FC 4–1 Ceramica Cleopatra · Pyramids FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 17:18 · locked at kick-off

Pyramids FC win52%

Draw28%

Ceramica Cleopatra win21%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 18:00

Venue30 June Stadium

Line-ups

Pyramids FC

4-4-2

Ceramica Cleopatra

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Pyramids FC

Ceramica Cleopatra

25Days since last match28

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Pyramids FC	5	+8	15
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	5	+7	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Pyramids FC

4-4-2

1 A. El Shenawy

15 M. Chibi

3 M. Marei

4 A. Samy

29 K. Hafez

11 M. Fathi

18 W. El Karti

14 M. Lasheen

22 N. Maher

13 N. Benbouali

30 M. Ziko

Coach · Rhulani Mokwena

Substitutes

16 · Z. Haithem

34 · E. El Askalany

24 · K. Awad

8 · M. Saber

7 · Y. Obama

23 · Otta

9 · A. Abdelkader

20 · A. Magdi

17 · Zalaka

Ceramica Cleopatra

4-2-3-1

18 M. Bassam

8 A. Magdy

5 N. Ragab

24 J. Arthur

27 H. El Sayed

28 K. Amr

17 A. El Solia

21 P. Gwargis

77 Bobo

19 A. Mukka

9 N. Gradisar

Coach · Ali Maher

Substitutes

23 · M. Alaa

4 · Beckham

32 · F. El Henawy

31 · M. Ahmed

10 · A. Belhadji

22 · K. Al Nabris

11 · S. Awujoola

29 · M. Otaka

25 · A. Shika

Our number · pyramids fc winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 17:18 · locked at kick-off

52% The market64%

Us52%

~~Market~~64%

We make Pyramids FC a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · pyramids fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 60% to 64% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pyramids FC win	52%	64%	−13
Draw	28%	23%	+5
Ceramica Cleopatra win	21%	13%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	48%	49%	−1
Both teams to score	51%	44%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	74%	72%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	26%	29%	−3
Pyramids FC or draw	79%	87%	−8
Pyramids FC clean sheet	39%	–	–
Ceramica Cleopatra clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.3 5.7 3.5 1 10.8 13.1 5.5 2 10.0 9.4 4.5 3 5.5 5.1 2.4 4 2.3 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pyramids FC down, Ceramica Cleopatra across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,516 Premier League matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.8% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pyramids FC at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Ceramica Cleopatra away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Pyramids FC, 0.95 for Ceramica Cleopatra. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CER 1–1 PYR · PYR 1–0 CER · CER 1–5 PYR · PYR 2–1 CER

Form · last six in Premier League

PYRAMIDS FC

WWWWWW2–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1

CERAMICA CLEOPATRA

LLWWWW0–1 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ahly	6	+8	16
2	Pyramids FC	5	+8	15
3	Zamalek SC	6	+5	13
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	5	+7	12
5	Future FC	5	+3	10
6	Al Ittihad	5	+3	10
7	El Mokawloon	5	+1	7
8	Petrojet	5	0	7
9	Olympic El Qanah	6	0	7
10	El Geish	5	0	7
11	Masr	5	−1	7
12	AL Masry	6	−2	7
13	National Bank of Egypt	5	−3	6
14	Wadi Degla	5	−1	5
15	Enppi	5	−3	4
16	Smouha SC	5	−3	4
17	Abu Qair Semad	5	−7	3
18	El Gouna FC	5	−3	2
19	Asyut Petrol	5	−4	2
20	Ghazl El Mehalla	5	−8	1