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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Premier League › National Bank of Egypt v AL Masry

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National Bank of Egypt v AL Masry

National Bank of Egypt
14:00Upcoming
AL Masry

Premier League · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

National Bank of EgyptDrawAL Masry
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · National Bank of Egypt 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with National Bank of Egypt just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: National Bank of Egypt 35%, draw 31%, AL Masry 33%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on National Bank of Egypt v AL MasryBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

National Bank of Egypt win35%
Draw31%
AL Masry win33%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

National Bank of Egypt

AL Masry

8Days since last match9

Last match: 20 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League

Last match: 19 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9National Bank of Egypt7010
13AL Masry7−28

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · national bank of egypt winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
35% The market36%
Us35%
Market36%

We make National Bank of Egypt a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · National Bank of Egypt v AL Masry1.21 – 1.16
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 26 AugW3 D1 L2 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 10 v 89 v 13
The market · National Bank of Egypt win36% · ours 35%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 22 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:41
Our probability · National Bank of Egypt win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
National Bank of Egypt win35%36%−1
Draw31%30%+1
AL Masry win33%34%−1
Over 2.5 goals42%45%−3
Both teams to score50%51%−1
Over 1.5 goals70%70%0
Over 3.5 goals22%25%−3
National Bank of Egypt or draw67%66%+1
National Bank of Egypt clean sheet32%––
AL Masry clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.7%
0123450 11.3 9.2 6.3 2.5 1 9.6 14.7 7.5 2.9 2 6.8 7.8 4.5 3 2.8 3.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+National Bank of Egypt down, AL Masry across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.70
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsNAT 0–1 ALM · NAT 0–1 ALM · NAT 1–1 ALM · NAT 3–1 ALM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 26 Aug

NATIONAL BANK OF EGYPT

LWWLWD0–3 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 1–1

AL MASRY

WLLLDD3–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Pyramids FC7+1421
2Al Ahly7+817
3Zamalek SC7+616
4Ceramica Cleopatra7+615
5Future FC7+313
6Al Ittihad7+313
7El Mokawloon7+411
8Masr7011
9National Bank of Egypt7010
10Smouha SC7010
11Olympic El Qanah708
12Petrojet7−28
13AL Masry7−28
14Wadi Degla7−17
15El Geish7−67
16Asyut Petrol7−45
17Enppi7−74
18Ghazl El Mehalla7−84
19Abu Qair Semad7−84
20El Gouna FC7−62

The competition's standings before kick-off.