Future FC v Al Ahly prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Future FCDrawAl Ahly

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Ahly 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Ahly are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Future FC 17%, draw 27%, Al Ahly 56%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Future FC v Al AhlyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Future FC win17%

Draw27%

Al Ahly win56%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueAl-Sekka Al-Hadid Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Future FC

Al Ahly

9Days since last match8

Last match: 20 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League

Last match: 21 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Al Ahly	7	+8	17
5	Future FC	7	+3	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ahly winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market60%

Us56%

~~Market~~60%

We make Al Ahly a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Future FC v Al Ahly~~0.82 – 1.68

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 27 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 13 v 17~~5 v 2

~~The market · Al Ahly win~~60% · ours 56%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Ahly win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Future FC win	17%	15%	+2
Draw	27%	25%	+2
Al Ahly win	56%	60%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	45%	45%	0
Both teams to score	46%	44%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	72%	70%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	24%	25%	−1
Future FC or draw	44%	40%	+4
Future FC clean sheet	19%	–	–
Al Ahly clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 9.9 12.4 11.5 6.5 2.8 1 5.3 12.7 9.3 5.2 2.2 2 2.8 4.6 3.8 2.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Future FC down, Al Ahly across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,534 Premier League matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.6% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.89 goals a meeting; 6 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Future FC at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Ahly away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.82 goals for Future FC, 1.68 for Al Ahly. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.89

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 9

~~Both scored~~7 of 9

~~Last meetings~~FUT 2–2 ALA · FUT 1–3 ALA · ALA 1–2 FUT · FUT 1–2 ALA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 27 Aug

FUTURE FC

WLWWWL2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 2–3

AL AHLY

WWDWWD2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pyramids FC	7	+14	21
2	Al Ahly	7	+8	17
3	Zamalek SC	7	+6	16
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	7	+6	15
5	Future FC	7	+3	13
6	Al Ittihad	7	+3	13
7	El Mokawloon	7	+4	11
8	Masr	7	0	11
9	National Bank of Egypt	7	0	10
10	Smouha SC	7	0	10
11	Olympic El Qanah	7	0	8
12	Petrojet	7	−2	8
13	AL Masry	7	−2	8
14	Wadi Degla	7	−1	7
15	El Geish	7	−6	7
16	Asyut Petrol	7	−4	5
17	Enppi	7	−7	4
18	Ghazl El Mehalla	7	−8	4
19	Abu Qair Semad	7	−8	4
20	El Gouna FC	7	−6	2