El Gouna FC v Smouha SC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 38%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF El Gouna FC v Smouha SC
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: the draw 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 32–38–31
4. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 48% now
5. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Saber Ashraf El Shimi · El Gouna FC
6. 40′El Gouna FC are down to ten from 38′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 26–49–25
7. 40′🟥 RED CARD · 38' Saber Ashraf El Shimi · El Gouna FC
8. 41′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 50%. 0–0 · 25–50–25
9. 45′HALF-TIME El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC
10. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' El Gouna FC · On: marwan essam · Off: Mohamed Reda
11. 46′SECOND HALF El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC
12. 50′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 55%. 0–0 · 23–55–22
13. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Mohamed Farouk · Smouha SC
14. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 58% now
15. 57′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 60%. 0–0 · 20–60–20
16. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Smouha SC · On: Attidjikou Samadou · Off: Mohamed Farouk
17. 63′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–0 · 18–65–18
18. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
19. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' El Gouna FC · On: Wilfried Parfait Wilfried Teukeu · Off: Ziad El Shayat
20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' El Gouna FC · On: Omar El Gazar · Off: Michael Egbemba
21. 70′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–0 · 14–71–14
22. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Smouha SC · On: G. Chicoday · Off: Khaled El Ghandour
23. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Smouha SC · On: Fady Farid · Off: Mohamed Said Makrona
24. 73′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–0 · 13–75–13
25. 75′Smouha SC have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 12–77–11
26. 76′12 shots for Smouha SC, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 11–78–11
27. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
28. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' El Gouna FC · On: Islam Abou Slemma · Off: Alaa Shaaban
29. 77′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–0 · 10–80–10
30. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Marwan Mohsen · El Gouna FC
31. 81′We said the draw at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–0 · 8–85–7
32. 82′We said the draw at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–1 · 0–7–93
33. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' El Gouna FC 0–1 Smouha SC
34. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 7% now
35. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Smouha SC win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 87%)
36. 83′Pape Abasse Badji scores for Smouha SC on 82′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–6–94
37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Smouha SC · On: Abdelrahman Amer · Off: Abdel Ghani Mohamed
38. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Smouha SC · On: Hesham Hafez · Off: Ali Gamal
39. 86′We said the draw at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 0–4–96
40. 87′The goal count is tracking the 1.7 we expected. 0–2 · 0–0–100
41. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' El Gouna FC 0–2 Smouha SC
42. 88′86′: Fady Farid on the scoresheet for Smouha SC, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
43. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' El Gouna FC · On: Ahmed Gamal · Off: Marwan Mohsen
44. FTFULL TIME El Gouna FC 0–2 Smouha SC
45. FTEl Gouna FC 0–2 Smouha SC · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.