Ceramica Cleopatra v Masr prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ceramica CleopatraDrawMasr

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ceramica Cleopatra 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ceramica Cleopatra are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ceramica Cleopatra 40%, draw 31%, Masr 29%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Ceramica Cleopatra v MasrBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Ceramica Cleopatra win40%

Draw31%

Masr win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueArab Contractors Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ceramica Cleopatra

Masr

10Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League

Last match: 24 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	7	+6	15
8	Masr	7	0	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ceramica cleopatra winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Ceramica Cleopatra a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ceramica Cleopatra v Masr~~1.30 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 28 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 11~~4 v 8

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ceramica Cleopatra win	40%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Masr win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Ceramica Cleopatra or draw	71%	–	–
Ceramica Cleopatra clean sheet	35%	–	–
Masr clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.5%

0123450 11.4 8.4 5.3 1 10.6 14.5 6.8 2.4 2 8.0 8.3 4.4 3 3.5 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ceramica Cleopatra down, Masr across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,534 Premier League matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.6% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ceramica Cleopatra at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Masr away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra, 1.06 for Masr. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~MAS 0–0 CER · MAS 1–4 CER · MAS 1–1 CER · CER 0–3 MAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 28 Aug

CERAMICA CLEOPATRA

WWWWLW3–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 2–0

MASR

LWLWDW0–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pyramids FC	7	+14	21
2	Al Ahly	7	+8	17
3	Zamalek SC	7	+6	16
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	7	+6	15
5	Future FC	7	+3	13
6	Al Ittihad	7	+3	13
7	El Mokawloon	7	+4	11
8	Masr	7	0	11
9	National Bank of Egypt	7	0	10
10	Smouha SC	7	0	10
11	Olympic El Qanah	7	0	8
12	Petrojet	7	−2	8
13	AL Masry	7	−2	8
14	Wadi Degla	7	−1	7
15	El Geish	7	−6	7
16	Asyut Petrol	7	−4	5
17	Enppi	7	−7	4
18	Ghazl El Mehalla	7	−8	4
19	Abu Qair Semad	7	−8	4
20	El Gouna FC	7	−6	2