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Asyut Petrol v El Gouna FC
Asyut PetrolEl Gouna FCPremier League · FRI 30 OCT · Asyut University Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Asyut Petrol 31%, draw 37%, El Gouna FC 32%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 35%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off
Asyut Petrol win31%El Gouna FC win32%Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueAsyut University Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Asyut PetrolMINEl Gouna FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Asyut Petrol
El Gouna FC
Last match: 20 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League
Last match: 19 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 20 | El Gouna FC | 7 | −6 | 2 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 37% chance. The market has it at 33%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asyut Petrol win | 31% | 27% | +4 |
| Draw | 37% | 33% | +4 |
| El Gouna FC win | 32% | 40% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 34% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 35% | 42% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54% | 60% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% | 17% | −7 |
| Asyut Petrol or draw | 68% | 60% | +8 |
| Asyut Petrol clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| El Gouna FC clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 26 Aug
ASYUT PETROL
EL GOUNA FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pyramids FC | 7 | +14 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al Ahly | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  Zamalek SC | 7 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Future FC | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Al Ittihad | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  El Mokawloon | 7 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Masr | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  National Bank of Egypt | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Smouha SC | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Olympic El Qanah | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Petrojet | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 |  AL Masry | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Wadi Degla | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 15 |  El Geish | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Enppi | 7 | −7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Ghazl El Mehalla | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 19 |  Abu Qair Semad | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 20 | El Gouna FC | 7 | −6 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.