Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Independiente del Valle win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Independiente del Valle was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–22–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica
4. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda · Universidad Catolica
5. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Independiente del Valle win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
6. 44′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–34–19
7. 45′HALF-TIME Independiente del Valle 0–0 Universidad Catolica
8. 46′SECOND HALF Independiente del Valle 0–0 Universidad Catolica
9. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Daniel Clavijo · Universidad Catolica
10. 49′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–19
11. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Youri Ochoa · Independiente del Valle
12. 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–41–18
13. 58′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
14. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Independiente del Valle win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
15. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Independiente del Valle win 41%)
16. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 62' José Fajardo · Universidad Catolica
17. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Independiente del Valle · On: Hugo Quintana · Off: Youri Ochoa
18. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Independiente del Valle · On: Carlos González · Off: Djorkaeff Reascos
19. 65′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–16
20. 71′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
21. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Independiente del Valle win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
22. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Jerónimo Cacciabue · Universidad Catolica
23. 75′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–12
24. 77′We published Independiente del Valle at 58%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–1
25. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Independiente del Valle · On: Junior Sornoza · Off: Ronald Briones
26. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Independiente del Valle 1–0 Universidad Catolica
27. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Independiente del Valle win: 58% at kick-off, 89% now
28. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Independiente del Valle win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 65%)
29. 78′Independiente del Valle ahead on 77′ through Juan Viacava. 1–0. 1–0 · 90–10–1
30. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Independiente del Valle · On: Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez · Off: Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios
31. 79′We published Independiente del Valle at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
32. 81′GOAL DISALLOWED · 81' Independiente del Valle
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Independiente del Valle win: 58% at kick-off, 16% now
34. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Independiente del Valle win 92%)
35. 83′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–80–7
36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Universidad Catolica · On: Jimmy Evans · Off: Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Universidad Catolica · On: Facundo Martinez · Off: Jerónimo Cacciabue
38. 87′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
39. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Independiente del Valle · On: Edwin Quintero · Off: Matias Mijail Perello
40. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Independiente del Valle win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
41. 92′We said Independiente del Valle at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–2
42. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Universidad Catolica · On: Andrés Rodríguez · Off: Mauro Díaz
43. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Universidad Catolica · On: Luis Johan Moreno · Off: Daniel Clavijo
44. FTFULL TIME Independiente del Valle 0–0 Universidad Catolica
45. FTIndependiente del Valle 0–0 Universidad Catolica · Independiente del Valle win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.