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San Antonio v Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

San Antonio
2–0Full time
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

Liga Pro Serie B · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30
San Antonio 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors SAN ANTONIO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said San Antonio win44%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.466
The market’s Brier score0.562

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Antonio win at 44%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: San Antonio 44% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–30–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF San Antonio v Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  4. 6′We said San Antonio at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  5. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' San Antonio 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  6. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' San Antonio win: 44% at kick-off, 76% now
  7. 7′A goal for San Antonio on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 78–17–5
  9. 44′We said San Antonio at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
  10. 45′We said San Antonio at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–0
  11. 45′San Antonio score on 45′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–0
  12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' San Antonio 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' San Antonio win: 44% at kick-off, 96% now
  14. 45′SECOND HALF San Antonio 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  15. 47′HALF-TIME San Antonio 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  16. 78′We said San Antonio at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 93′2–0 at the end. Our 44% on San Antonio comes in. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  18. FTFULL TIME San Antonio 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  19. FTSan Antonio 2–0 Deportivo Cuenca Juniors · San Antonio win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

San Antonio are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: San Antonio 44%, draw 32%, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 24%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on San Antonio v Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

San Antonio win44%
Draw32%
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win24%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

San Antonio

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

8Days since last match9

Last match: 8 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B

Last match: 7 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors22−334
6San Antonio22+331

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · san antonio winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
44% The market39%
Us44%
Market39%

We make San Antonio a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · San Antonio v Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1.20 – 0.80
Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 3 SeptW0 D1 L5 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 31 v 346 v 4
The market · San Antonio win39% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 10 OCT 03:5516 OCT 18:37
Our probability · San Antonio win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
San Antonio win44%39%+5
Draw32%31%+1
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win24%31%−7
Over 2.5 goals32%42%−10
Both teams to score39%49%−10
Over 1.5 goals60%67%−7
Over 3.5 goals15%23%−8
San Antonio or draw76%69%+7
San Antonio clean sheet45%––
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.3%
0123450 14.7 9.9 4.4 1 15.3 13.7 5.1 2 9.7 7.6 3.1 3 3.9 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+San Antonio down, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting1.33
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsDEP 1–0 SAN · DEP 1–0 SAN · SAN 1–1 DEP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 3 Sept

SAN ANTONIO

LLLLDL2–4 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–2

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS

LLWLLD0–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ind. Juniors22+1239
2Atletico FC22+1138
39 de Octubre22+837
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors22−334
5Cuniburo22+831
6San Antonio22+331
7Gualaceo SC22+329
8Santo Domingo22+128
9LDU Portoviejo22−527
10Cumbayá22026
1122 de Julio22−2115
12El Nacional22−1712

The competition's standings before kick-off.