San Antonio v 9 de Octubre

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said San Antonio win at 35%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: San Antonio 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–34–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF San Antonio v 9 de Octubre
4. 14′PENALTY MISSED · 14' 9 de Octubre
5. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was San Antonio win 35%)
6. 28′9 de Octubre find the net on 28′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–22–69
7. 28′We said San Antonio at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–69
8. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' San Antonio 0–1 9 de Octubre
9. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' San Antonio win: 35% at kick-off, 9% now
10. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' 9 de Octubre win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 41%)
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 9–22–69
12. 42′A goal for San Antonio on 41′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 28–47–25
13. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' San Antonio 1–1 9 de Octubre
14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' San Antonio win: 35% at kick-off, 28% now
15. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was 9 de Octubre win 72%)
16. 45′HALF-TIME San Antonio 1–1 9 de Octubre
17. 46′SECOND HALF San Antonio 1–1 9 de Octubre
18. 50′9 de Octubre score on 49′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–20–75
19. 50′3 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–20–75
20. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' San Antonio 1–2 9 de Octubre
21. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' San Antonio win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
22. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' 9 de Octubre win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 51%)
23. 54′We said San Antonio at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
24. 70′San Antonio find the net on 70′. 2–2. 2–2 · 16–69–15
25. 70′We said San Antonio at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–69–15
26. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' San Antonio 2–2 9 de Octubre
27. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' San Antonio win: 35% at kick-off, 16% now
28. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was 9 de Octubre win 83%)
29. 71′That is 4, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 16–70–15
30. 74′We said San Antonio at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–13
31. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' San Antonio win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
32. 87′A goal for 9 de Octubre on 87′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–95
33. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' San Antonio 2–3 9 de Octubre
34. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' 9 de Octubre win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 90%)
35. 88′5 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–4–96
36. 93′San Antonio score on 90′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 2–97–1
37. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' San Antonio 3–3 9 de Octubre
38. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was 9 de Octubre win 98%)
39. 94′That is 6, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 1–98–1
40. FTFULL TIME San Antonio 3–3 9 de Octubre
41. FTSan Antonio 3–3 9 de Octubre · San Antonio win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.