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LDU Portoviejo v Gualaceo SC
LDU Portoviejo
Gualaceo SCLiga Pro Serie B · SAT 17 OCT · Estadio Reales Tamarindos
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said LDU Portoviejo win at 42%.
- 13′Little has changed for our model: LDU Portoviejo 42% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–35–25
- 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was LDU Portoviejo win 36%)
- 42′A goal for LDU Portoviejo on 42′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–4
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' LDU Portoviejo win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' LDU Portoviejo 1–0 Gualaceo SC
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' LDU Portoviejo win: 42% at kick-off, 78% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' LDU Portoviejo win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 17%)
- 43′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–17–4
- 44′GOAL DISALLOWED · 44' LDU Portoviejo
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' LDU Portoviejo win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was LDU Portoviejo win 32%)
- 45′HALF-TIME LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Gualaceo SC
- 46′SECOND HALF LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Gualaceo SC
- 49′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–50–20
- 50′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–51–20
- 61′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' LDU Portoviejo win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 69′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–14
- 76′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' LDU Portoviejo win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 83′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–86–6
- 89′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 91′We said LDU Portoviejo at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
- FTFULL TIME LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Gualaceo SC
- FTLDU Portoviejo 0–0 Gualaceo SC · LDU Portoviejo win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassLDU Portoviejo are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: LDU Portoviejo 42%, draw 33%, Gualaceo SC 26%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
LDU Portoviejo win42%
Gualaceo SC win26%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 21:30
RoundRelegation Group · matchday 8
VenueEstadio Reales Tamarindos
Match timeline
All events
LDU PortoviejoMIN
Gualaceo SCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
LDU Portoviejo
Gualaceo SC
Last match: 8 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Last match: 10 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make LDU Portoviejo a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| LDU Portoviejo win | 42% | 41% | +1 |
| Draw | 33% | 34% | −1 |
| Gualaceo SC win | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 36% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 44% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 61% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 19% | −6 |
| LDU Portoviejo or draw | 74% | 74% | 0 |
| LDU Portoviejo clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Gualaceo SC clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 29 Aug
LDU PORTOVIEJO
GUALACEO SC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 22 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | −3 | 34 |
| 5 | Cuniburo | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | −5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | −21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | −17 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ind. Juniors
Atletico FC
9 de Octubre
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Cuniburo
San Antonio
Santo Domingo
Cumbayá
22 de Julio
El Nacional