Ind. Juniors v San Antonio prediction · Liga Pro Serie B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ind. JuniorsDrawSan Antonio

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ind. Juniors 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ind. Juniors are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ind. Juniors 56%, draw 27%, San Antonio 17%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Ind. Juniors v San AntonioBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Ind. Juniors win56%

Draw27%

San Antonio win17%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ind. Juniors

San Antonio

6Days since last match6

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ind. juniors winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Ind. Juniors a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ind. Juniors v San Antonio~~1.57 – 0.74

~~Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 16 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 39 v 31~~1 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ind. Juniors win	56%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
San Antonio win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Ind. Juniors or draw	83%	–	–
Ind. Juniors clean sheet	48%	–	–
San Antonio clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.7%

0123450 11.2 6.6 2.8 1 14.7 12.3 4.2 2 12.1 8.8 3.3 3 6.3 4.6 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ind. Juniors down, San Antonio across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,097 Liga Pro Serie B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Pro Serie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.1% of games this season, across 185 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ind. Juniors at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). San Antonio away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Ind. Juniors, 0.74 for San Antonio. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SAN 0–0 IND · SAN 0–0 IND · IND 0–0 SAN · IND 6–2 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 16 Sept

IND. JUNIORS

DLWWLL1–1 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–2

SAN ANTONIO

LLDLWD0–1 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ind. Juniors	22	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	+11	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	+8	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	−3	34
5	Cuniburo	22	+8	31
6	San Antonio	22	+3	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	+3	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	+1	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	−5	27
10	Cumbayá	22	0	26
11	22 de Julio	22	−21	15
12	El Nacional	22	−17	12