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Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atletico FC
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Atletico FCLiga Pro Serie B · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico FC win at 35%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Atletico FC was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 31–34–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atletico FC
- 2′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 11–20–69
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–1 Atletico FC
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 69% now
- 3′Atletico FC score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–20–69
- 7′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 7–20–73
- 32′🟥 RED CARD · 32' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
- 41′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 75% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–1 Atletico FC
- 50′HALF-TIME Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–1 Atletico FC
- 51′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–2 · 1–4–96
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–2 Atletico FC
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 96% now
- 52′Atletico FC find the net on 51′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
- 54′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 4–18–78
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1–2 Atletico FC
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 78% now
- 55′A goal for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors on 55′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 4–18–79
- 59′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 65′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 17–64–19
- 65′Deportivo Cuenca Juniors score on 65′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–64–19
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 19% now
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Atletico FC win 83%)
- 66′4 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 17–65–18
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
- 73′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 13–73–14
- 80′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–82–9
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
- 88′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 95′Full time, 2–2. We called Atletico FC at 35% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC
- FTDeportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC · Atletico FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Atletico FC just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 31%, draw 34%, Atletico FC 35%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win31%
Atletico FC win35%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 19:30
RoundPromotion Group · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsMIN
Atletico FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Atletico FC
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Last match: 15 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Atletico FC a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are level with the market. The model expects 0.9–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 34%, 35% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win | 31% | 35% | −4 |
| Draw | 34% | 30% | +4 |
| Atletico FC win | 35% | 35% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 38% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 37% | 46% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% | 64% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 19% | −7 |
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors or draw | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Atletico FC clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 10 Sept
DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS
ATLETICO FC
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 22 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | −3 | 34 |
| 5 | Cuniburo | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | −5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | −21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | −17 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Ind. Juniors
9 de Octubre
Cuniburo
San Antonio
Gualaceo SC
Santo Domingo
LDU Portoviejo
Cumbayá
22 de Julio
El Nacional