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Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atletico FC

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
2–2Full time
Atletico FC

Liga Pro Serie B · THU 22 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 22:00
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC ATLETICO FC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Atletico FC win35%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.655
The market’s Brier score0.727

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico FC win at 35%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atletico FC was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 35% now. 0–0 · 31–34–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atletico FC
  4. 2′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 69%. 0–1 · 11–20–69
  5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–1 Atletico FC
  6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 69% now
  7. 3′Atletico FC score on 3′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–20–69
  8. 7′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
  9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 7–20–73
  10. 32′🟥 RED CARD · 32' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
  11. 41′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
  12. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 75% now
  13. 45′SECOND HALF Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–1 Atletico FC
  14. 50′HALF-TIME Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–1 Atletico FC
  15. 51′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–2 · 1–4–96
  16. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 0–2 Atletico FC
  17. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 96% now
  18. 52′Atletico FC find the net on 51′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
  19. 54′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 4–18–78
  20. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1–2 Atletico FC
  21. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 78% now
  22. 55′A goal for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors on 55′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 4–18–79
  23. 59′We published Atletico FC at 35%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
  24. 65′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 17–64–19
  25. 65′Deportivo Cuenca Juniors score on 65′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 17–64–19
  26. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC
  27. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 19% now
  28. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Atletico FC win 83%)
  29. 66′4 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 17–65–18
  30. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
  31. 73′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 13–73–14
  32. 80′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–82–9
  33. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Atletico FC win: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
  34. 88′We said Atletico FC at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
  35. 95′Full time, 2–2. We called Atletico FC at 35% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
  36. FTFULL TIME Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC
  37. FTDeportivo Cuenca Juniors 2–2 Atletico FC · Atletico FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Atletico FC just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 31%, draw 34%, Atletico FC 35%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atletico FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win31%
Draw34%
Atletico FC win35%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 19:30

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors

Atletico FC

6Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B

Last match: 15 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Atletico FC22+1138
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors22−334

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atletico fc winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 17 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off
35% The market35%
Us35%
Market35%

We make Atletico FC a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are level with the market. The model expects 0.9–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Deportivo Cuenca Juniors v Atletico FC0.90 – 0.97
Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 10 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 34 v 384 v 2
The market · Atletico FC win35% · ours 35%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40% 15 OCT 04:3322 OCT 19:07
Our probability · Atletico FC win The market, margin stripped

Published at 34%, 35% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors win31%35%−4
Draw34%30%+4
Atletico FC win35%35%0
Over 2.5 goals29%38%−9
Both teams to score37%46%−9
Over 1.5 goals56%64%−8
Over 3.5 goals12%19%−7
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors or draw65%65%0
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors clean sheet38%––
Atletico FC clean sheet41%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.7%
0123450 16.7 14.1 7.3 2.4 1 12.9 14.1 6.4 2.1 2 6.2 5.9 2.9 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Cuenca Juniors down, Atletico FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting0.67
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsATL 2–0 DEP · DEP 0–0 ATL · ATL 0–0 DEP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 10 Sept

DEPORTIVO CUENCA JUNIORS

LWLLDL0–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–2

ATLETICO FC

WDWWWW3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ind. Juniors22+1239
2Atletico FC22+1138
39 de Octubre22+837
4Deportivo Cuenca Juniors22−334
5Cuniburo22+831
6San Antonio22+331
7Gualaceo SC22+329
8Santo Domingo22+128
9LDU Portoviejo22−527
10Cumbayá22026
1122 de Julio22−2115
12El Nacional22−1712

The competition's standings before kick-off.