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Atletico FC v Ind. Juniors
Atletico FC
Ind. JuniorsLiga Pro Serie B · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico FC win at 46%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Atletico FC 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–29–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Atletico FC v Ind. Juniors
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Atletico FC win 37%)
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Atletico FC win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Atletico FC 0–0 Ind. Juniors
- 46′We said Atletico FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
- 46′SECOND HALF Atletico FC 0–0 Ind. Juniors
- 57′We said Atletico FC at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–17
- 58′Atletico FC score on 58′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 58′We said Atletico FC at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Atletico FC 1–0 Ind. Juniors
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Atletico FC win: 46% at kick-off, 83% now
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Atletico FC win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
- 59′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 64′We said Atletico FC at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Atletico FC win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
- 75′We said Atletico FC at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 84′We said Atletico FC at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Atletico FC win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
- FTFULL TIME Atletico FC 1–0 Ind. Juniors
- FTAtletico FC 1–0 Ind. Juniors · Atletico FC win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAtletico FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Atletico FC 46%, draw 31%, Ind. Juniors 23%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 40%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Atletico FC win46%
Ind. Juniors win23%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 20:00
RoundPromotion Group · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Atletico FCMIN
Ind. JuniorsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Atletico FC
Ind. Juniors
Last match: 8 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Last match: 8 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Atletico FC a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico FC win | 46% | 43% | +3 |
| Draw | 31% | 31% | 0 |
| Ind. Juniors win | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 39% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 46% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 21% | −5 |
| Atletico FC or draw | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Atletico FC clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Ind. Juniors clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 4 Sept
ATLETICO FC
IND. JUNIORS
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 22 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | −3 | 34 |
| 5 | Cuniburo | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | −5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | −21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | −17 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
9 de Octubre
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Cuniburo
San Antonio
Gualaceo SC
Santo Domingo
LDU Portoviejo
Cumbayá
22 de Julio
El Nacional