Atletico FC v Cuniburo prediction · Liga Pro Serie B

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atletico FCDrawCuniburo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Atletico FC 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atletico FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atletico FC 43%, draw 31%, Cuniburo 26%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Atletico FC v CuniburoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Atletico FC win43%

Draw31%

Cuniburo win26%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundPromotion Group · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atletico FC

Cuniburo

6Days since last match6

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Atletico FC	22	+11	38
5	Cuniburo	22	+8	31

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atletico fc winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Atletico FC a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atletico FC v Cuniburo~~1.24 – 0.89

~~Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 17 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 38 v 31~~2 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Atletico FC win

Published at 44%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atletico FC win	43%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Cuniburo win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Atletico FC or draw	74%	–	–
Atletico FC clean sheet	42%	–	–
Cuniburo clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%

0123450 13.3 9.6 4.7 1 13.8 13.9 5.7 2 9.1 7.9 3.5 3 3.8 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atletico FC down, Cuniburo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,097 Liga Pro Serie B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Pro Serie B matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.1% of games this season, across 185 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atletico FC at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Cuniburo away: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Atletico FC, 0.89 for Cuniburo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~CUN 1–0 ATL · CUN 3–0 ATL · ATL 1–0 CUN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 17 Sept

ATLETICO FC

DWWWWD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

CUNIBURO

WWDDLW1–0 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ind. Juniors	22	+12	39
2	Atletico FC	22	+11	38
3	9 de Octubre	22	+8	37
4	Deportivo Cuenca Juniors	22	−3	34
5	Cuniburo	22	+8	31
6	San Antonio	22	+3	31
7	Gualaceo SC	22	+3	29
8	Santo Domingo	22	+1	28
9	LDU Portoviejo	22	−5	27
10	Cumbayá	22	0	26
11	22 de Julio	22	−21	15
12	El Nacional	22	−17	12