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22 de Julio v LDU Portoviejo
22 de JulioLDU PortoviejoLiga Pro Serie B · WED 21 OCT
Corrected on 24 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 2–2; the score is now 1–1 and the grades above follow it.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
LDU Portoviejo are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: 22 de Julio 27%, draw 30%, LDU Portoviejo 43%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
22 de Julio win27%LDU Portoviejo win43%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 21:00
RoundRelegation Group · matchday 9
Match timeline
All events
22 de JulioMINLDU PortoviejoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
22 de Julio
LDU Portoviejo
Last match: 15 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Pro Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | −5 | 27 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | −21 | 15 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make LDU Portoviejo a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 38 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 43% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio win | 27% | 6% | +21 |
| Draw | 30% | 13% | +17 |
| LDU Portoviejo win | 43% | 81% | −38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 76% | −37 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 57% | −12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 92% | −26 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 62% | −43 |
| 22 de Julio or draw | 57% | 19% | +38 |
| 22 de Julio clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| LDU Portoviejo clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Pro Serie B this season · since 11 Sept
22 DE JULIO
LDU PORTOVIEJO
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ind. Juniors | 22 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Atletico FC | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  9 de Octubre | 22 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | −3 | 34 |
| 5 |  Cuniburo | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 22 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 |  Gualaceo SC | 22 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  Santo Domingo | 22 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | −5 | 27 |
| 10 |  Cumbayá | 22 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | −21 | 15 |
| 12 |  El Nacional | 22 | −17 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.