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Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle
Delfin SCIndependiente del ValleCopa Ecuador · THU 29 OCT · Estadio Jocay
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Independiente del Valle are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Delfin SC 19%, draw 25%, Independiente del Valle 56%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Delfin SC win19%Independiente del Valle win56%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 00:00
RoundSemi-finals
VenueEstadio Jocay
Match timeline
All events
Delfin SCMINIndependiente del ValleEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Last match: 24 Oct · Liga Pro
Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Pro
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Independiente del Valle a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are level with the market. The model expects 0.9–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC win | 19% | 19% | 0 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Independiente del Valle win | 56% | 56% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 29% | −4 |
| Delfin SC or draw | 44% | 44% | 0 |
| Delfin SC clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Independiente del Valle clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Copa Ecuador this season · since 12 May
DELFIN SC
INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE