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Vega Real v Cibao

Vega Real
0–0Full time
Cibao

Liga Mayor · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 02:30
Vega Real 0–0 Cibao CIBAO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Cibao win53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.863

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cibao win at 53%.
  2. 45′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 18–41–40
  3. 46′SECOND HALF Vega Real 0–0 Cibao
  4. 47′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 18–43–39
  5. 58′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 16–51–33
  6. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
  7. 64′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 14–56–29
  8. 70′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 12–63–24
  9. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
  10. 78′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 9–75–17
  11. 80′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 8–78–14
  12. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
  13. 84′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 5–86–9
  14. 91′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–94–4
  15. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
  16. FTFULL TIME Vega Real 0–0 Cibao
  17. FTVega Real 0–0 Cibao · Cibao win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cibao are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vega Real 21%, draw 26%, Cibao 53%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Vega Real v CibaoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Vega Real win21%
Draw26%
Cibao win53%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 23:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vega Real

Cibao

5Days since last match5

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga Mayor

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga Mayor

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Cibao10+1520
3Vega Real10+516

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cibao winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
53% The market–
Us53%

We make Cibao a 53% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vega Real v Cibao0.83 – 1.52
Form · last six in Liga Mayor this season · since 12 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 16 v 203 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vega Real win21%––
Draw26%––
Cibao win53%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Vega Real or draw47%––
Vega Real clean sheet23%––
Cibao clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.3%
0123450 10.2 14.3 10.9 5.6 2.2 1 7.8 12.0 8.7 4.5 2 3.4 4.9 3.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vega Real down, Cibao across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsCIB 2–1 VEG · VEG 1–3 CIB · CIB 2–0 VEG · VEG 1–2 CIB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Mayor this season · since 12 Sept

VEGA REAL

WLWWWL5–0 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

CIBAO

LDDWWW1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 7–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Salcedo10+1526
2Cibao10+1520
3Vega Real10+516
4Delfines Del Este10+215
5Universidad O&M10+312
6Moca10011
7Jarabacoa10−132
8Atlántico10−270

The competition's standings before kick-off.