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Vega Real v Cibao
Vega Real
CibaoLiga Mayor · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cibao win at 53%.
- 45′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 18–41–40
- 46′SECOND HALF Vega Real 0–0 Cibao
- 47′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 18–43–39
- 58′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 16–51–33
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
- 64′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 14–56–29
- 70′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 12–63–24
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 78′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 9–75–17
- 80′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 8–78–14
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
- 84′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 5–86–9
- 91′We said Cibao at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–94–4
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Cibao win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Vega Real 0–0 Cibao
- FTVega Real 0–0 Cibao · Cibao win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCibao are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Vega Real 21%, draw 26%, Cibao 53%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Vega Real win21%
Cibao win53%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 23:00
RoundMatchday 11
Match timeline
All events
Vega RealMIN
CibaoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Vega Real
Cibao
Last match: 11 Oct · Liga Mayor
Last match: 11 Oct · Liga Mayor
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cibao a 53% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vega Real win | 21% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Cibao win | 53% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 43% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | – | – |
| Vega Real or draw | 47% | – | – |
| Vega Real clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Cibao clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Mayor this season · since 12 Sept
VEGA REAL
CIBAO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salcedo | 10 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 | Cibao | 10 | +15 | 20 |
| 3 | Vega Real | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Delfines Del Este | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Universidad O&M | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Moca | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Jarabacoa | 10 | −13 | 2 |
| 8 | Atlántico | 10 | −27 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Salcedo
Delfines Del Este
Universidad O&M
Moca
Jarabacoa
Atlántico