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Moca v Universidad O&M
MocaUniversidad O&MLiga Mayor · SAT 10 OCT · Polideportivo Moca 85
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Moca win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Moca 40% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–29–31
- 1′KICK-OFF Moca v Universidad O&M
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Moca 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–29–31
- 31′PENALTY MISSED · 31' Moca
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Moca 0–1 Universidad O&M
- 45′HALF-TIME Moca 0–1 Universidad O&M
- 46′SECOND HALF Moca 0–1 Universidad O&M
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Moca 0–2 Universidad O&M
- 90′🟥 RED CARD · 94' Moca
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 96' Moca 1–2 Universidad O&M
- FTMoca 1–2 Universidad O&M · Moca win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 23:00
Venue · Polideportivo Moca 85
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Moca a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moca win | 40% | 49% | −8 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | +1 |
| Universidad O&M win | 31% | 24% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 46% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 70% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 26% | −6 |
| Moca or draw | 69% | 76% | −7 |
| Moca clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Universidad O&M clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
23 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Liga Mayor
MOCA
UNIVERSIDAD O&M
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salcedo | 9 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Cibao | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  Vega Real | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |  Delfines Del Este | 9 | +2 | 14 |
| 5 | Moca | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Universidad O&M | 9 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Jarabacoa | 9 | −13 | 4 |
| 8 |  Atlántico | 9 | −20 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.