Delfines Del Este v Salcedo prediction · Liga Mayor

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Delfines Del EsteDrawSalcedo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Salcedo 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Salcedo are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Delfines Del Este 33%, draw 30%, Salcedo 38%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Delfines Del Este v SalcedoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Delfines Del Este win33%

Draw30%

Salcedo win38%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueEstadio de Futbol Panamericano Parque del Este

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Delfines Del Este

Salcedo

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Mayor

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Mayor

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · salcedo winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Salcedo a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Delfines Del Este v Salcedo~~1.06 – 1.16

~~Form · last six in Liga Mayor this season · since 23 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 16 v 29~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Delfines Del Este win	33%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Salcedo win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Delfines Del Este or draw	62%	–	–
Delfines Del Este clean sheet	32%	–	–
Salcedo clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 11.7 12.2 7.3 2.9 1 11.1 13.5 7.5 3.0 2 6.1 6.9 4.0 3 2.2 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Delfines Del Este down, Salcedo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 627 Liga Mayor matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Mayor matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.8% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.11 goals a meeting; 4 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Delfines Del Este at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Salcedo away: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Delfines Del Este, 1.16 for Salcedo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.11

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~SAL 1–0 DEL · DEL 2–1 SAL · SAL 1–0 DEL · SAL 1–2 DEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Mayor this season · since 23 Sept

DELFINES DEL ESTE

DWLLDD1–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

SALCEDO

DWWWWW0–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Salcedo	11	+16	29
2	Cibao	11	+15	21
3	Vega Real	12	+4	17
4	Delfines Del Este	11	+2	16
5	Moca	11	+1	14
6	Universidad O&M	12	+2	13
7	Jarabacoa	12	−13	5
8	Atlántico	12	−27	3