Silkeborg v FC Nordsjaelland prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SilkeborgDrawFC Nordsjaelland

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Nordsjaelland 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Nordsjaelland are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Silkeborg 31%, draw 25%, FC Nordsjaelland 44%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Silkeborg v FC NordsjaellandBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Silkeborg win31%

Draw25%

FC Nordsjaelland win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueJYSK Park

RefereeJonas Hansen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Silkeborg

FC Nordsjaelland

7Days since last match3

Last match: 18 Oct · the Danish Superliga

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	FC Nordsjaelland	11	+4	19
8	Silkeborg	11	−4	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc nordsjaelland winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market56%

Us44%

~~Market~~56%

We make FC Nordsjaelland a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Silkeborg v FC Nordsjaelland~~1.42 – 1.71

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D4 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 19~~8 v 4

~~The market · FC Nordsjaelland win~~56% · ours 44%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · FC Nordsjaelland win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Silkeborg win	31%	22%	+9
Draw	25%	22%	+3
FC Nordsjaelland win	44%	56%	−12
Over 2.5 goals	61%	67%	−6
Both teams to score	63%	65%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	83%	85%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	38%	46%	−8
Silkeborg or draw	56%	44%	+12
Silkeborg clean sheet	18%	–	–
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 5.3 6.6 6.4 3.7 1 5.3 11.5 9.0 5.1 2.2 2 4.4 7.5 6.4 3.6 3 2.1 3.6 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Silkeborg down, FC Nordsjaelland across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,032 Superliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.40 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Silkeborg at home: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). FC Nordsjaelland away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Silkeborg, 1.71 for FC Nordsjaelland. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FCN 1–0 SIL · FCN 5–0 SIL · SIL 4–2 FCN · FCN 1–1 SIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 30 Aug

SILKEBORG

DDDWDL1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 3–3 · 0–4

FC NORDSJAELLAND

LDWLDD0–2 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Copenhagen	11	+14	25
2	FC Midtjylland	11	+10	25
3	Viborg	11	+8	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	11	+4	19
5	Brondby	12	+1	19
6	AC Horsens	11	−1	13
7	Odense	11	−5	13
8	Silkeborg	11	−4	11
9	Randers FC	12	−7	11
10	Aarhus	11	−3	9
11	Sonderjyske	11	−8	8
12	Lyngby	11	−9	8