Lyngby v Randers FC prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LyngbyDrawRanders FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Randers FC 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Randers FC just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Lyngby 34%, draw 28%, Randers FC 38%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Lyngby v Randers FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Lyngby win34%

Draw28%

Randers FC win38%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueLyngby Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lyngby

Randers FC

12Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · the Danish Superliga

Last match: 23 Oct · the Danish Superliga

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Randers FC	12	−7	11
12	Lyngby	11	−9	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · randers fc winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Randers FC a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lyngby v Randers FC~~1.29 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 11~~12 v 9

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lyngby win	34%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Randers FC win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Lyngby or draw	62%	–	–
Lyngby clean sheet	26%	–	–
Randers FC clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 8.2 8.6 6.6 3.1 1 8.0 13.3 8.4 3.8 2 5.8 7.8 5.4 2.5 3 2.5 3.4 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lyngby down, Randers FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,032 Superliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.22 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lyngby at home: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Randers FC away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Lyngby, 1.37 for Randers FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.22

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~3 of 9

~~Last meetings~~RAN 2–0 LYN · LYN 0–0 RAN · RAN 1–1 LYN · LYN 2–1 RAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 30 Aug

LYNGBY

DWDLLD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 2–5 · 3–3

RANDERS FC

WLLLDL3–0 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Copenhagen	11	+14	25
2	FC Midtjylland	11	+10	25
3	Viborg	11	+8	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	11	+4	19
5	Brondby	12	+1	19
6	AC Horsens	11	−1	13
7	Odense	11	−5	13
8	Silkeborg	11	−4	11
9	Randers FC	12	−7	11
10	Aarhus	11	−3	9
11	Sonderjyske	11	−8	8
12	Lyngby	11	−9	8