FC Copenhagen v Odense prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC CopenhagenDrawOdense

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Copenhagen 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Copenhagen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Copenhagen 63%, draw 21%, Odense 16%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on FC Copenhagen v OdenseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

FC Copenhagen win63%

Draw21%

Odense win16%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueParken Stadium

RefereeSvendsen·Frederik

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Copenhagen

Odense

4Days since last match8

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

Last match: 18 Oct · the Danish Superliga

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc copenhagen winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

63% The market66%

Us63%

~~Market~~66%

We make FC Copenhagen a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Copenhagen v Odense~~2.23 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 30 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 25 v 13~~1 v 7

~~The market · FC Copenhagen win~~66% · ours 63%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · FC Copenhagen win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Copenhagen win	63%	66%	−3
Draw	21%	20%	+1
Odense win	16%	15%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	64%	62%	+2
Both teams to score	58%	56%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	84%	82%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	42%	41%	+1
FC Copenhagen or draw	84%	85%	−1
FC Copenhagen clean sheet	35%	–	–
Odense clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.6 3.2 2.1 1 7.7 9.5 4.6 2 9.3 9.7 5.1 3 6.9 7.2 3.8 4 3.9 4.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Copenhagen down, Odense across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,032 Superliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.40 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Copenhagen at home: 2.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Odense away: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.23 goals for FC Copenhagen, 1.05 for Odense. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ODE 0–5 FCC · FCC 2–1 ODE · ODE 2–1 FCC · ODE 2–2 FCC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 30 Aug

FC COPENHAGEN

WWWWLD2–0 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

ODENSE

DLWDDW1–1 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Copenhagen	11	+14	25
2	FC Midtjylland	11	+10	25
3	Viborg	11	+8	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	11	+4	19
5	Brondby	12	+1	19
6	AC Horsens	11	−1	13
7	Odense	11	−5	13
8	Silkeborg	11	−4	11
9	Randers FC	12	−7	11
10	Aarhus	11	−3	9
11	Sonderjyske	11	−8	8
12	Lyngby	11	−9	8