FC Copenhagen v Aarhus

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Copenhagen win at 51%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: FC Copenhagen was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
3. 2′KICK-OFF FC Copenhagen v Aarhus
4. 18′7 shots for FC Copenhagen, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 48–28–24
5. 22′FC Copenhagen have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 47–28–24
6. 36′We published FC Copenhagen at 51%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
7. 36′A goal for FC Copenhagen on 35′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
8. 36′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
9. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' FC Copenhagen 1–0 Aarhus
10. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' FC Copenhagen win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME FC Copenhagen 1–0 Aarhus
12. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Aarhus · On: Jacob Andersen · Off: Rasmus Carstensen
13. 46′SECOND HALF FC Copenhagen 1–0 Aarhus
14. 59′We published FC Copenhagen at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
15. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' FC Copenhagen win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
16. 63′63′: Janni Serra on the scoresheet for Aarhus, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 32–49–19
17. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus · Janni Serra
18. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' FC Copenhagen win: 51% at kick-off, 32% now
19. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was FC Copenhagen win 32%)
20. 64′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–50–19
21. 64′FC Copenhagen have had 14 attempts to 3 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 31–50–19
22. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' FC Copenhagen win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC Copenhagen · On: Thomas Delaney · Off: William Clem
24. 67′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
25. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Aarhus · On: Eric Kahl · Off: Daniel Leo Gretarsson
26. 73′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–15
27. 75′17 shots for FC Copenhagen, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 22–64–14
28. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Aarhus · On: James Bogere · Off: Janni Serra
29. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Aarhus · On: Markus Solbakken · Off: Callum McCowatt
30. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Copenhagen · On: Geovanni Vianney Ndjee · Off: Viktor Dadason
31. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Alex Král · FC Copenhagen
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' FC Copenhagen win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
33. 78′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
34. 82′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–9
35. 83′FC Copenhagen have had 20 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 12–80–8
36. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' FC Copenhagen win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
37. 86′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' FC Copenhagen · On: Thapelo Maseko · Off: Mohamed Elyounoussi
39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' FC Copenhagen · On: Mads Emil Madsen · Off: Robert Silva
40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' FC Copenhagen · On: Birger Meling · Off: Marcos López
41. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Tobias Mölgaard · Aarhus
42. 92′We said FC Copenhagen at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
43. 95′FC Copenhagen have had 24 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 2–97–1
44. FTFULL TIME FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus
45. FTFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus · FC Copenhagen win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.