Nordsjælland W v AGF W prediction · Kvindeliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nordsjælland WDrawAGF W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Nordsjælland W 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nordsjælland W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nordsjælland W 75%, draw 15%, AGF W 9%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Nordsjælland W v AGF WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Nordsjælland W win75%

Draw15%

AGF W win9%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nordsjælland W

AGF W

9Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Kvindeliga

Last match: 17 Oct · Kvindeliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Nordsjælland W	11	+20	22
10	AGF W	11	−19	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nordsjælland w winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Nordsjælland W a 75% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nordsjælland W v AGF W~~2.69 – 0.78

~~Form · last six in Kvindeliga this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 22 v 3~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nordsjælland W win	75%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
AGF W win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Nordsjælland W or draw	91%	–	–
Nordsjælland W clean sheet	46%	–	–
AGF W clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.9%

0123450 3.8 2.7 1 8.6 7.1 2.8 2 10.9 8.4 3.4 3 9.4 7.1 2.8 4 6.4 4.7 5 3.7 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Nordsjælland W down, AGF W across0–5 goals a side shown (92.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 525 Kvindeliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Kvindeliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nordsjælland W at home: 3.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). AGF W away: 0.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.69 goals for Nordsjælland W, 0.78 for AGF W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~AGF 0–2 NOR · AGF 0–0 NOR · NOR 3–1 AGF · AGF 3–1 NOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Kvindeliga this season · since 5 Sept

NORDSJÆLLAND W

WWWDDD6–4 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–0

AGF W

LWLLLL1–2 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Køge W	12	+20	29
2	Nordsjælland W	11	+20	22
3	Brøndby W	12	+16	21
4	Fortuna Hjørring W	12	+13	21
5	Midtjylland W	12	+3	21
6	ASA Aarhus W	11	−5	16
7	KoldingQ W	12	−10	13
8	Odense Q W	11	−14	13
9	FC Copenhagen W	12	−24	6
10	AGF W	11	−19	3