FC Copenhagen W v Odense Q W prediction · Kvindeliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

FC Copenhagen W 1–2 Odense Q W FC COPENHAGEN W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Copenhagen W win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.761

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FC Copenhagen W win at 47%.
1′Much as we predicted: FC Copenhagen W was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–30
1′KICK-OFF FC Copenhagen W v Odense Q W
14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Odense Q W
25′Odense Q W score on 25′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 20–23–57
25′We said FC Copenhagen W at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–23–57
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' FC Copenhagen W 0–1 Odense Q W
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' FC Copenhagen W win: 47% at kick-off, 20% now
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Odense Q W win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was FC Copenhagen W win 20%)
26′24′: L. Rasmussen on the scoresheet for Odense Q W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 19–24–57
26′We said FC Copenhagen W at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 18–24–58
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' FC Copenhagen W win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
34′🟨 YELLOW · 30' E. Tulkki · FC Copenhagen W
42′We said FC Copenhagen W at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
45′HALF-TIME FC Copenhagen W 0–1 Odense Q W
46′SECOND HALF FC Copenhagen W 0–1 Odense Q W
57′We said FC Copenhagen W at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Odense Q W · On: E. Dahlmann · Off: M. Bech
62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Odense Q W · On: L. Jorgensen · Off: E. Henriksen
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' FC Copenhagen W win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
65′FC Copenhagen W find the net on 65′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–50–21
65′We said FC Copenhagen W at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–50–21
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' FC Copenhagen W 1–1 Odense Q W
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' FC Copenhagen W win: 47% at kick-off, 29% now
65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Odense Q W win 21%)
66′SUBSTITUTION · 61' FC Copenhagen W · On: A. Green · Off: S. Tranholm
67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' FC Copenhagen W · On: E. Andersen · Off: F. Benfeldt
80′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Odense Q W · On: C. Rexbye · Off: A. Braendstrup
80′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Odense Q W · On: S. Yde · Off: F. Ebbesvik
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' FC Copenhagen W win: 47% at kick-off, 15% now
86′SUBSTITUTION · 81' FC Copenhagen W · On: S. Fuhlendorff · Off: M. Johansson
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' FC Copenhagen W win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
90′A goal for Odense Q W on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–5–95
90′We said FC Copenhagen W at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' FC Copenhagen W
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' FC Copenhagen W 1–2 Odense Q W
90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Odense Q W win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' FC Copenhagen W
FTFULL TIME FC Copenhagen W 1–2 Odense Q W
FTFC Copenhagen W 1–2 Odense Q W · FC Copenhagen W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Copenhagen W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Copenhagen W 47%, draw 23%, Odense Q W 30%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on FC Copenhagen W v Odense Q WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FC Copenhagen W win47%

Draw23%

Odense Q W win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen W

Odense Q W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Copenhagen W

Odense Q W

14Days since last match13

Last match: 3 Oct · Kvindeliga

Last match: 4 Oct · Kvindeliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Odense Q W	10	−15	10
9	FC Copenhagen W	10	−21	6

In the news

from the pressAll ›

FC Copenhagen Women have a ‘startup-like’ brand. Now they need resultsThe Guardian · 15 Oct 12:00 · FC Copenhagen W

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen W

Formation not confirmed

2 S. Weinell

6 I. Skovbo

8 E. Tulkki

9 M. Hovmark

10 S. Jankovska

13 A. Berthelsen

21 A. Dilfer

23 S. Tranholm

25 L. Roberts

27 M. Johansson

29 F. Benfeldt

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · A. Green

11 · E. Andersen

16 · S. Fuhlendorff

17 · A. Saini

20 · J. Svava

22 · S. Sigurvinsdottir

41 · A. Husemoen

Odense Q W

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Worsoe

3 E. Henriksen

4 L. Kjaergaard

5 I. Olsen

6 L. Friis

7 M. Bech

9 A. Braendstrup

10 L. Rasmussen

15 E. J. Ilijoski

17 F. Ebbesvik

20 S. Thrige

Coach · Peer Lisdorff

Substitutes

2 · L. Sehested

8 · E. Dahlmann

18 · L. Wadstrom

19 · C. Rexbye

23 · L. Jorgensen

26 · S. Yde

30 · C. Toft

Our number · fc copenhagen w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make FC Copenhagen W a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Copenhagen W v Odense Q W~~1.75 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Kvindeliga this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 6 v 10~~9 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Copenhagen W win	47%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Odense Q W win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
FC Copenhagen W or draw	70%	–	–
FC Copenhagen W clean sheet	27%	–	–
Odense Q W clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.7 6.4 4.2 1 8.2 10.3 6.9 3.2 2 6.9 8.9 6.0 2.7 3 4.1 5.3 3.5 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Copenhagen W down, Odense Q W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 517 Kvindeliga matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Kvindeliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Copenhagen W at home: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Odense Q W away: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for FC Copenhagen W, 1.35 for Odense Q W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ODE 2–1 FCC · FCC 0–0 ODE · ODE 0–2 FCC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Kvindeliga this season · since 29 Aug

FC COPENHAGEN W

WWLLLL3–1 · 1–0 · 2–4 · 2–6 · 0–2 · 1–2

ODENSE Q W

LLLDWL0–2 · 0–4 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Køge W	10	+19	25
2	Nordsjælland W	10	+20	21
3	Brøndby W	10	+17	20
4	Fortuna Hjørring W	10	+11	17
5	Midtjylland W	10	+2	17
6	ASA Aarhus W	10	−7	13
7	KoldingQ W	10	−9	12
8	Odense Q W	10	−15	10
9	FC Copenhagen W	10	−21	6
10	AGF W	10	−17	3