ASA Aarhus W v KoldingQ W prediction · Kvindeliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ASA Aarhus WDrawKoldingQ W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · ASA Aarhus W 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ASA Aarhus W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ASA Aarhus W 46%, draw 21%, KoldingQ W 33%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on ASA Aarhus W v KoldingQ WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

ASA Aarhus W win46%

Draw21%

KoldingQ W win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ASA Aarhus W

KoldingQ W

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Kvindeliga

Last match: 24 Oct · Kvindeliga

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	ASA Aarhus W	11	−5	16
7	KoldingQ W	12	−10	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asa aarhus w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make ASA Aarhus W a 46% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ASA Aarhus W v KoldingQ W~~2.03 – 1.70

~~Form · last six in Kvindeliga this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 16 v 13~~6 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ASA Aarhus W win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
KoldingQ W win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
ASA Aarhus W or draw	67%	–	–
ASA Aarhus W clean sheet	19%	–	–
KoldingQ W clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.4%

0123450 2.8 4.1 3.5 2.0 1 5.0 8.4 6.7 3.8 2 5.1 8.1 6.7 3.8 3 3.5 5.5 4.5 2.5 4 2.9 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ASA Aarhus W down, KoldingQ W across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 525 Kvindeliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Kvindeliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.4% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ASA Aarhus W at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). KoldingQ W away: 2.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.03 goals for ASA Aarhus W, 1.70 for KoldingQ W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KOL 1–3 ASA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Kvindeliga this season · since 5 Sept

ASA AARHUS W

LWDLWW0–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 3–1

KOLDINGQ W

LWLWDL1–3 · 6–2 · 1–4 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Køge W	12	+20	29
2	Nordsjælland W	11	+20	22
3	Brøndby W	12	+16	21
4	Fortuna Hjørring W	12	+13	21
5	Midtjylland W	12	+3	21
6	ASA Aarhus W	11	−5	16
7	KoldingQ W	12	−10	13
8	Odense Q W	11	−14	13
9	FC Copenhagen W	12	−24	6
10	AGF W	11	−19	3