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Model 1.2

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Esbjerg v FC Nordsjaelland

Esbjerg
16:00Upcoming
FC Nordsjaelland

DBU Pokalen · WED 28 OCT · Blue Water Arena

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

EsbjergDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00
Before kick-off · Match result · FC Nordsjaelland 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Nordsjaelland are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Esbjerg 14%, draw 18%, FC Nordsjaelland 68%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Esbjerg v FC NordsjaellandBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Esbjerg win14%
Draw18%
FC Nordsjaelland win68%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueBlue Water Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Esbjerg

FC Nordsjaelland

4Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc nordsjaelland winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
68% The market–
Us68%

We make FC Nordsjaelland a 68% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Esbjerg v FC Nordsjaelland1.05 – 2.48
Form · DBU Pokalen this season · since 6 AugW3 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Esbjerg win14%––
Draw18%––
FC Nordsjaelland win68%––
Over 2.5 goals68%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Esbjerg or draw32%––
Esbjerg clean sheet8%––
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.5%
0123450 3.2 7.0 9.0 7.4 4.6 2.31 2.8 7.9 9.5 7.8 4.8 2.42 4.0 5.0 4.1 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Esbjerg down, FC Nordsjaelland across0–5 goals a side shown (95.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · DBU Pokalen this season · since 6 Aug

ESBJERG

WWW6–0 · 5–1 · 5–0

FC NORDSJAELLAND

W3–0