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Home › Football › 3. Division › Sundby v Ishøj

Sundby v Ishøj

Sundby
2–3Full time
Ishøj

3. Division · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30
Sundby 2–3 Ishøj SUNDBY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sundby win47%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.782
The market’s Brier score0.680

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sundby win at 47%.
  2. 30′30′ and it is 1–1: Sundby have scored. 1–1 · 42–31–27
  3. 42′Much as we predicted: Sundby was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 1–1 · 39–36–26
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Sundby 1–1 Ishøj
  5. 45′⚽ GOAL · 27' Sundby 1–1 Ishøj
  6. 45′⚽ GOAL · 30' Sundby 1–1 Ishøj
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Sundby 1–1 Ishøj
  8. 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Sundby 1–2 Ishøj
  9. 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Sundby 1–3 Ishøj
  10. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Sundby 2–3 Ishøj
  11. FTSundby 2–3 Ishøj · Sundby win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sundby win47%
Draw24%
Ishøj win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sundby winPublished 9 Oct 18:04
47% The market41%
Us47%
Market41%

We make Sundby a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:189 OCT 15:08
Our probability · sundby win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 44% to 41% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sundby win47%41%+6
Draw24%26%−2
Ishøj win29%33%−4
Over 2.5 goals55%58%−3
Both teams to score56%62%−6
Over 1.5 goals78%79%−2
Over 3.5 goals33%38%−4
Sundby or draw71%67%+4
Sundby clean sheet30%––
Ishøj clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 5.7 7.1 4.3 1 9.4 11.0 6.8 2.9 2 7.5 9.0 5.6 2.4 3 4.2 5.0 3.1 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sundby down, Ishøj across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Division

SUNDBY

LWLWWL0–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 0–1

ISHØJ

LLLWWD0–1 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 3–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Holbæk B&I10+822
2Brønshøj10+819
3Vanløse10+719
4Næsby10+617
5FC Helsingor10+417
6ASA Aarhus10016
7Holstebro10−613
8Hørsholm-Usserød10+112
9Sundby10−210
10Frem10−29
11Ishøj10−108
12Ringsted10−145

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.