Næsby v Vanløse

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Næsby win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Næsby was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Næsby v Vanløse
4. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Næsby 0–0 Vanløse
6. 46′SECOND HALF Næsby 0–0 Vanløse
7. 47′We said Næsby at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–38–22
8. 49′We said Næsby at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–21
9. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Næsby win 37%)
10. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–43–20
11. 56′Næsby score on 55′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–4
12. 56′We published Næsby at 52%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
13. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Næsby 1–0 Vanløse
14. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 80% now
15. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Næsby win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 16%)
16. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
17. 71′We published Næsby at 52%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
18. 71′Næsby find the net on 71′. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
19. 71′We published Næsby at 52%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
20. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Næsby 2–0 Vanløse
21. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 98% now
22. 72′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 2–0 · 98–1–0
23. 76′A goal for Vanløse on 76′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
24. 76′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–1
25. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Næsby 2–1 Vanløse
26. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 88% now
27. 79′We published Næsby at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
28. 79′PENALTY MISSED · 79' Næsby
29. 80′Vanløse score on 80′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 16–74–10
30. 80′We said Næsby at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 16–74–10
31. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Næsby 2–2 Vanløse
32. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 16% now
33. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Næsby win 16%)
34. 81′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 15–76–9
35. 82′We said Næsby at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–79–8
36. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
37. 86′We said Næsby at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–86–5
38. 92′We said Næsby at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
39. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Næsby win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
40. FTFULL TIME Næsby 2–2 Vanløse
41. FTNæsby 2–2 Vanløse · Næsby win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.