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Hørsholm-Usserød v Frem
Hørsholm-Usserød
Frem3. Division · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hørsholm-Usserød win at 43%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Hørsholm-Usserød 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–22–36
- 1′KICK-OFF Hørsholm-Usserød v Frem
- 38′A goal for Hørsholm-Usserød on 38′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–20–12
- 38′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–20–12
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Hørsholm-Usserød 1–0 Frem
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Hørsholm-Usserød win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Hørsholm-Usserød 1–0 Frem
- 46′SECOND HALF Hørsholm-Usserød 1–0 Frem
- 49′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–10
- 54′Frem score on 54′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 33–38–29
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Hørsholm-Usserød 1–1 Frem
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Hørsholm-Usserød win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Hørsholm-Usserød win 33%)
- 55′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 33–39–29
- 58′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–41–28
- 63′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–45–26
- 71′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–54–22
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Hørsholm-Usserød win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 77′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–17
- 82′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–75–12
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Hørsholm-Usserød win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 86′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
- 92′We said Hørsholm-Usserød at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–4
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Hørsholm-Usserød win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Hørsholm-Usserød 1–1 Frem
- FTHørsholm-Usserød 1–1 Frem · Hørsholm-Usserød win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassHørsholm-Usserød are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hørsholm-Usserød 43%, draw 22%, Frem 36%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Hørsholm-Usserød win43%
Frem win36%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 12
Match timeline
All events
Hørsholm-UsserødMIN
FremEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hørsholm-Usserød
Frem
Last match: 10 Oct · the Danish 3. Division
Last match: 10 Oct · the Danish 3. Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Hørsholm-Usserød a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hørsholm-Usserød win | 43% | 34% | +9 |
| Draw | 22% | 26% | −4 |
| Frem win | 36% | 41% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 61% | +7 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 63% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 81% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 41% | +6 |
| Hørsholm-Usserød or draw | 64% | 59% | +5 |
| Hørsholm-Usserød clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Frem clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division this season · since 4 Sept
HØRSHOLM-USSERØD
FREM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 11 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Næsby | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus | 11 | −1 | 16 |
| 7 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Holstebro | 11 | −8 | 13 |
| 9 | Frem | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Ishøj | 11 | −9 | 11 |
| 11 | Sundby | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 12 | Ringsted | 11 | −16 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Holbæk B&I
Brønshøj
Vanløse
FC Helsingor
Næsby
ASA Aarhus
Holstebro
Ishøj
Sundby
Ringsted