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Roskilde v Skive
2. Division · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Roskilde win at 53%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Roskilde v Skive
- 3′Little has changed for our model: Roskilde 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Roskilde 1–0 Skive
- 23′A goal for Roskilde on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–6
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Roskilde win: 53% at kick-off, 78% now
- 43′We said Roskilde at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 45′HALF-TIME Roskilde 1–0 Skive
- 50′SECOND HALF Roskilde 1–0 Skive
- 67′We said Roskilde at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Roskilde win: 53% at kick-off, 85% now
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Roskilde 2–0 Skive
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Roskilde 3–0 Skive
- 88′Roskilde find the net on 74′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Roskilde win: 53% at kick-off, 100% now
- FTFULL TIME Roskilde 3–0 Skive
- FTRoskilde 3–0 Skive · Roskilde win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 13:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Roskilde a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 45% to 51% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde win | 53% | 51% | +2 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | +1 |
| Skive win | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 56% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 55% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 35% | −8 |
| Roskilde or draw | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Roskilde clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Skive clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2022Form · last six in 2. Division
ROSKILDE
SKIVE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 10 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Middelfart | 10 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | B 93 | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Naestved | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Skive | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 10 | −2 | 14 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 10 | −6 | 9 |
| 10 | HIK | 10 | −10 | 8 |
| 11 | FA 2000 | 10 | −12 | 5 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 10 | −13 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Nykobing FC
VSK Århus
Middelfart
B 93
Naestved
Fremad Amager
Brabrand
HIK
FA 2000
Thisted FC