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Roskilde v Fremad Amager
Roskilde
Fremad Amager2. Division · FRI 23 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Roskilde win at 53%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Roskilde v Fremad Amager
- 5′Little has changed for our model: Roskilde 53% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
- 23′A goal for Roskilde on 19′. 0–0 · 48–29–23
- 24′We said Roskilde at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–7
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 19' Roskilde 1–0 Fremad Amager
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Roskilde win: 53% at kick-off, 78% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 45′HALF-TIME Roskilde 1–0 Fremad Amager
- 48′We said Roskilde at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 50′Roskilde find the net on 50′. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 51′We said Roskilde at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Roskilde 2–0 Fremad Amager
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Roskilde win: 53% at kick-off, 96% now
- 55′SECOND HALF Roskilde 1–0 Fremad Amager
- 76′A goal for Roskilde on 76′. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 76′We said Roskilde at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 76′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Roskilde 3–0 Fremad Amager
- 95′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Roskilde 4–0 Fremad Amager
- 96′Roskilde score on 90′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Roskilde 4–0 Fremad Amager
- FTRoskilde 4–0 Fremad Amager · Roskilde win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Roskilde are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Roskilde 53%, draw 24%, Fremad Amager 23%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Roskilde win53%
Fremad Amager win23%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 13
Match timeline
All events
RoskildeMIN
Fremad AmagerEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Roskilde
Fremad Amager
Last match: 17 Oct · the Danish 2. Division
Last match: 16 Oct · the Danish 2. Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Roskilde a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde win | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| Fremad Amager win | 23% | 21% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 59% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 59% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 81% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 39% | −10 |
| Roskilde or draw | 77% | 79% | −2 |
| Roskilde clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Fremad Amager clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2020/21Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 2. Division this season · since 11 Sept
ROSKILDE
FREMAD AMAGER
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 12 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 12 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Naestved | 12 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 12 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | B 93 | 12 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 12 | −2 | 17 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 12 | −6 | 12 |
| 10 | HIK | 12 | −9 | 12 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 12 | −13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 12 | −14 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Nykobing FC
VSK Århus
Naestved
Middelfart
B 93
Skive
Brabrand
HIK
Thisted FC
FA 2000