Middelfart v Skive

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Middelfart win at 53%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Middelfart 53% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–26–22
3. 2′KICK-OFF Middelfart v Skive
4. 11′A goal for Middelfart on 10′. 0–0 · 51–28–22
5. 11′We said Middelfart at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–7
6. 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Middelfart 1–0 Skive
7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 78% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–5
9. 34′Middelfart find the net on 34′. 1–0 · 79–16–5
10. 34′We said Middelfart at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
11. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Middelfart 2–0 Skive
12. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 95% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Middelfart 2–1 Skive
14. 45′SECOND HALF Middelfart 2–1 Skive
15. 46′We said Middelfart at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 2–1 · 81–15–4
16. 46′Skive find the net on 45′. 2–1. 2–1 · 81–15–4
17. 46′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–15–4
18. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Middelfart 2–1 Skive
19. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 81% now
20. 64′We said Middelfart at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
21. 67′We said Middelfart at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 2–2 · 27–58–14
22. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Middelfart 2–2 Skive
23. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 27% now
24. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Middelfart win 86%)
25. 68′A goal for Skive on 67′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 27–60–14
26. 68′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 27–60–14
27. 71′We said Middelfart at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–63–13
28. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
29. 74′A goal for Middelfart on 74′. 2–2 · 21–67–11
30. 74′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 89–10–1
31. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Middelfart 3–2 Skive
32. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 89% now
33. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Middelfart win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 67%)
34. 76′We said Middelfart at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
35. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
36. 86′We said Middelfart at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 3–3 · 8–88–4
37. 86′Skive find the net on 86′. 3–3. 3–3 · 8–88–4
38. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Middelfart 3–3 Skive
39. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 8% now
40. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Middelfart win 96%)
41. 87′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 7–89–4
42. 90′3–3 at the end. Our 53% on Middelfart misses, and the record keeps it. 3–3 · 0–100–0
43. 91′We said Middelfart at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–93–2
44. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Middelfart win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
45. FTFULL TIME Middelfart 3–3 Skive
46. FTMiddelfart 3–3 Skive · Middelfart win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.