HIK v Nykobing FC prediction · 2. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

HIKDrawNykobing FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Nykobing FC 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nykobing FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: HIK 29%, draw 22%, Nykobing FC 49%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on HIK v Nykobing FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

HIK win29%

Draw22%

Nykobing FC win49%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

HIK

Nykobing FC

7Days since last match9

Last match: 23 Oct · the Danish 2. Division

Last match: 21 Oct · DBU Pokalen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nykobing fc winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Nykobing FC a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · HIK v Nykobing FC~~1.39 – 1.90

~~Form · last six in 2. Division this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 25~~10 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
HIK win	29%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Nykobing FC win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
HIK or draw	51%	–	–
HIK clean sheet	16%	–	–
Nykobing FC clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 3.9 7.1 6.7 4.2 2.1 1 5.3 9.8 9.0 5.7 2.8 2 3.7 6.7 6.3 4.0 3 3.2 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+HIK down, Nykobing FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 949 2. Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.1% of games this season, across 77 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

HIK at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Nykobing FC away: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for HIK, 1.90 for Nykobing FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~NYK 3–0 HIK · NYK 1–0 HIK · HIK 1–1 NYK · NYK 4–0 HIK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division this season · since 13 Sept

HIK

LDLDWW0–3 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

NYKOBING FC

WWDDWL3–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nykobing FC	12	+15	25
2	Roskilde	13	+15	25
3	VSK Århus	13	+5	20
4	Naestved	13	+3	20
5	Middelfart	13	+6	19
6	B 93	13	+3	18
7	Skive	13	0	18
8	Fremad Amager	13	−6	17
9	Brabrand	13	−5	15
10	HIK	13	−7	15
11	Thisted FC	12	−13	6
12	FA 2000	13	−16	6