Fremad Amager v Nykobing FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fremad Amager win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Fremad Amager was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–26–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fremad Amager v Nykobing FC
4. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Fremad Amager win 33%)
5. 45′SECOND HALF Fremad Amager 0–0 Nykobing FC
6. 46′We published Fremad Amager at 39%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–0 · 71–21–8
7. 46′HALF-TIME Fremad Amager 0–0 Nykobing FC
8. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Fremad Amager 1–0 Nykobing FC
9. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 71% now
10. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Fremad Amager win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 21%)
11. 48′A goal for Fremad Amager on 47′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–21–8
12. 55′We published Fremad Amager at 39%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
13. 55′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 2–0 · 94–5–1
14. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Fremad Amager 2–0 Nykobing FC
15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 94% now
16. 56′Fremad Amager score on 56′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
17. 57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 74–20–6
18. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Fremad Amager 2–1 Nykobing FC
19. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 74% now
20. 58′We published Fremad Amager at 39%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
21. 59′Nykobing FC find the net on 58′. 2–1. 2–1 · 75–20–5
22. 60′We said Fremad Amager at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 2–2 · 27–49–25
23. 60′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 27–49–25
24. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Fremad Amager 2–2 Nykobing FC
25. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 27% now
26. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Fremad Amager win 27%)
27. 61′A goal for Nykobing FC on 60′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 26–50–24
28. 65′We said Fremad Amager at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–54–22
29. 72′We published Fremad Amager at 39%. Our model now makes it 82%. 3–2 · 82–16–2
30. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Fremad Amager 3–2 Nykobing FC
31. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 82% now
32. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Fremad Amager win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
33. 73′Fremad Amager score on 73′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 82–15–2
34. 73′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 82–15–2
35. 76′We published Fremad Amager at 39%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
36. 76′We said Fremad Amager at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 3–3 · 16–68–15
37. 76′A goal for Nykobing FC on 76′. 3–2 · 85–14–2
38. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Fremad Amager 3–3 Nykobing FC
39. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 16% now
40. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Fremad Amager win 16%)
41. 76′GOAL DISALLOWED · 76' Nykobing FC
42. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 85% now
43. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Fremad Amager win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 14%)
44. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
45. 88′We published Fremad Amager at 39%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
46. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Fremad Amager win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
47. 95′Full time, 3–2. We called Fremad Amager at 39% — that one lands. 3–2 · 100–0–0
48. FTFULL TIME Fremad Amager 3–2 Nykobing FC
49. FTFremad Amager 3–2 Nykobing FC · Fremad Amager win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.