Home › Football › 2. Division › B 93 v Middelfart

B 93 v Middelfart

B 93

3–1Full time

Middelfart

2. Division · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

B 93 3–1 Middelfart B 93 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said B 93 win~~38%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.587

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.539

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said B 93 win at 38%.
4′Much as we predicted: B 93 was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–27–36
4′KICK-OFF B 93 v Middelfart
30′⚽ GOAL · 30' B 93 1–0 Middelfart
35′⚽ GOAL · 34' B 93 2–0 Middelfart
45′B 93 find the net on 34′. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–7–2
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' B 93 win: 38% at kick-off, 92% now
45′HALF-TIME B 93 2–0 Middelfart
47′SECOND HALF B 93 2–0 Middelfart
55′55′ and it is 3–1: B 93 have scored. 3–1 · 94–5–1
55′⚽ GOAL · 52' B 93 3–1 Middelfart
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' B 93 3–1 Middelfart
FTFULL TIME B 93 3–1 Middelfart
FTB 93 3–1 Middelfart · B 93 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

B 93 win38%

Draw26%

Middelfart win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · b 93 winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

38% The market40%

Us38%

~~Market~~40%

We make B 93 a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · b 93 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
B 93 win	38%	40%	−2
Draw	26%	26%	0
Middelfart win	36%	34%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	50%	56%	−6
Both teams to score	54%	60%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	74%	78%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	29%	36%	−7
B 93 or draw	64%	66%	−3
B 93 clean sheet	27%	–	–
Middelfart clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.2 9.1 6.0 2.7 1 9.3 12.0 7.9 3.6 2 6.3 8.0 5.3 2.4 3 2.9 3.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+B 93 down, Middelfart across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 932 2. Division matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

2. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

B 93 at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Middelfart away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for B 93, 1.33 for Middelfart. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MID 2–1 B · B 4–0 MID

Form · last six in 2. Division

B 93

DDDLWW1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–0

MIDDELFART

WDDDDW2–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nykobing FC	10	+14	22
2	Roskilde	10	+8	18
3	VSK Århus	10	+7	18
4	Middelfart	10	+8	17
5	B 93	10	+3	15
6	Naestved	10	+2	15
7	Skive	10	+1	14
8	Fremad Amager	10	−2	14
9	Brabrand	10	−6	9
10	HIK	10	−10	8
11	FA 2000	10	−12	5
12	Thisted FC	10	−13	4