B 93 v Brabrand prediction · 2. Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

B 93 2–3 Brabrand B 93 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said B 93 win~~59%

~~The market said~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.049

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.917

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said B 93 win at 59%.
1′Much as we predicted: B 93 was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–22–19
1′KICK-OFF B 93 v Brabrand
16′B 93 score on 15′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–13–6
16′We published B 93 at 59%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–13–6
16′⚽ GOAL · 15' B 93 1–0 Brabrand
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
18′Brabrand find the net on 17′. 1–1. 1–1 · 55–25–19
18′⚽ GOAL · 17' B 93 1–1 Brabrand
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 55% now
33′A goal for B 93 on 32′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 81–14–5
33′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 81–14–5
33′⚽ GOAL · 32' B 93 2–1 Brabrand
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
34′B 93 score on 34′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
34′We published B 93 at 59%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
34′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 95–4–1
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' B 93 3–1 Brabrand
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 95% now
36′GOAL DISALLOWED · 36' B 93
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
45′HALF-TIME B 93 2–1 Brabrand
46′SECOND HALF B 93 2–1 Brabrand
61′Brabrand score on 61′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 37–47–16
61′We said B 93 at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 2–2 · 37–47–16
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' B 93 2–2 Brabrand
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 37% now
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was B 93 win 84%)
65′Brabrand find the net on 64′. 2–3. 2–3 · 8–25–66
65′We said B 93 at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–3 · 8–25–66
65′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 8–25–66
65′⚽ GOAL · 64' B 93 2–3 Brabrand
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' B 93 win: 59% at kick-off, 8% now
65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Brabrand win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 50%)
74′We said B 93 at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–21–75
FTFULL TIME B 93 2–3 Brabrand
FTB 93 2–3 Brabrand · B 93 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

B 93 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: B 93 59%, draw 22%, Brabrand 19%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on B 93 v BrabrandBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

B 93 win59%

Draw22%

Brabrand win19%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

B 93

Brabrand

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · the Danish 2. Division

Last match: 17 Oct · the Danish 2. Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	B 93	12	+4	18
10	Brabrand	12	−6	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · b 93 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

59% The market52%

Us59%

~~Market~~52%

We make B 93 a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · B 93 v Brabrand~~1.95 – 1.00

~~Form · last six in 2. Division this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 18 v 12~~6 v 10

~~The market · B 93 win~~52% · ours 59%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · B 93 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
B 93 win	59%	52%	+7
Draw	22%	25%	−3
Brabrand win	19%	23%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	56%	58%	−2
Both teams to score	53%	59%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	79%	79%	0
Over 3.5 goals	34%	38%	−4
B 93 or draw	81%	77%	+4
B 93 clean sheet	37%	–	–
Brabrand clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.3%

0123450 5.6 5.4 2.7 1 10.3 10.1 5.0 2 9.8 9.5 4.8 3 6.4 6.2 3.1 4 3.2 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+B 93 down, Brabrand across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 946 2. Division matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.4% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2019/20 in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

B 93 at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Brabrand away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.95 goals for B 93, 1.00 for Brabrand. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2019/20

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BRA 1–1 B · BRA 1–2 B · B 4–0 BRA · BRA 3–3 B

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Division this season · since 13 Sept

B 93

DLWWWL2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–2

BRABRAND

DLDWWL1–1 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nykobing FC	12	+15	25
2	Roskilde	13	+15	25
3	VSK Århus	12	+5	19
4	Naestved	12	+3	19
5	Middelfart	12	+6	18
6	B 93	12	+4	18
7	Skive	12	0	17
8	Fremad Amager	13	−6	17
9	HIK	13	−7	15
10	Brabrand	12	−6	12
11	Thisted FC	12	−13	6
12	FA 2000	13	−16	6