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Vejle v Hvidovre

Vejle

1–2Full time

Hvidovre

1. Division · FRI 9 OCT · Vejle Stadion

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Vejle 1–2 Hvidovre VEJLE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vejle win~~47%

~~The market said~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.798

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.972

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vejle win at 47%.
73′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Vejle · On: L. From · Off: W. Faghir
73′⚽ GOAL · 47' Vejle 1–2 Hvidovre · O. Kjaergaard (assist L. Prip)
73′⚽ GOAL · 51' Vejle 1–2 Hvidovre · L. Prip (assist O. Kjaergaard)
73′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Hvidovre · On: N. Huygevelde · Off: A. Smed
73′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Hvidovre · On: A. Okosun · Off: O. Jensen
73′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Vejle · On: A. Camara · Off: G. Marcussen
73′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Vejle · On: T. Gundelund · Off: M. Jensen
73′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Hvidovre · On: E. Aby · Off: D. Bagou
73′SECOND HALF Vejle 1–2 Hvidovre
74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' L. Hetemi · Vejle
77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Vejle · On: B. Edjeodji · Off: M. Duelund
77′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Vejle · On: M. Vestergaard · Off: L. Hetemi
84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Hvidovre · On: A. Johansen · Off: L. Prip
91′🟨 YELLOW · 93' B. Edjeodji · Vejle
92′🟨 YELLOW · 93' A. Njai · Hvidovre
92′🟥 RED CARD · 93' A. Njai · Hvidovre
93′🟨 YELLOW · 93' M. Kiilerich · Hvidovre
93′🟥 RED CARD · 93' Hvidovre
FTFULL TIME Vejle 1–2 Hvidovre
FTVejle 1–2 Hvidovre · Vejle win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vejle win47%

Draw25%

Hvidovre win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Vejle Stadion

Referee · M. Lykke

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Vejle

Formation not confirmed

1 N. Larsen

23 J. Karlsson

4 L. Nielsen

14 H. Christensen

3 C. Sorensen

8 M. Jensen

34 L. Hetemi

16 T. Bach

10 M. Duelund

18 G. Marcussen

19 W. Faghir

Coach · Claus Norgaard

Substitutes

31 · K. Kristensen

2 · T. Gundelund

15 · G. Vatnhamar

6 · M. Vestergaard

25 · M. Jensen

11 · L. From

32 · B. Edjeodji

20 · A. Camara

30 · N. Gammelgaard

Hvidovre

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Djukic

77 A. Njai

15 A. Iljazovski

25 M. Kiilerich

23 N. Clausen

3 O. Jensen Juul

7 L. Prip

8 O. Jensen

14 O. Kjaergaard

10 A. Smed

11 D. Bagou

Coach · Martin Retov

Substitutes

29 · A. Ravn

2 · D. Stenderup

6 · A. Okosun

18 · M. Knudsen

22 · N. Huygevelde

4 · Z. Aliji

26 · R. Risnaes

19 · A. Johansen

24 · E. Aby

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Vejle

Formation not confirmed

1 N. Larsen

23 J. Karlsson

4 L. Nielsen

14 H. Christensen

3 C. Sorensen

8 M. Jensen

34 L. Hetemi

16 T. Bach

10 M. Duelund

18 G. Marcussen

19 W. Faghir

Coach · Claus Norgaard

Substitutes

31 · K. Kristensen

2 · T. Gundelund

15 · G. Vatnhamar

6 · M. Vestergaard

25 · M. Jensen

11 · L. From

32 · B. Edjeodji

20 · A. Camara

30 · N. Gammelgaard

Hvidovre

Formation not confirmed

1 F. Djukic

77 A. Njai

15 A. Iljazovski

25 M. Kiilerich

23 N. Clausen

3 O. Jensen Juul

7 L. Prip

8 O. Jensen

14 O. Kjaergaard

10 A. Smed

11 D. Bagou

Coach · Martin Retov

Substitutes

29 · A. Ravn

2 · D. Stenderup

6 · A. Okosun

18 · M. Knudsen

22 · N. Huygevelde

4 · Z. Aliji

26 · R. Risnaes

19 · A. Johansen

24 · E. Aby

Our number · vejle winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

47% The market55%

Us47%

~~Market~~55%

We make Vejle a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vejle win	47%	55%	−8
Draw	25%	24%	+1
Hvidovre win	28%	22%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	57%	65%	−8
Both teams to score	59%	65%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	80%	84%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	35%	46%	−11
Vejle or draw	72%	78%	−7
Vejle clean sheet	28%	–	–
Hvidovre clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.8 5.9 4.1 1 8.2 11.4 6.9 3.0 2 7.4 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 4.2 5.3 3.4 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vejle down, Hvidovre across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,014 1. Division matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 1.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vejle at home: 3.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hvidovre away: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Vejle, 1.28 for Hvidovre. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~HVI 0–1 VEJ · VEJ 0–0 HVI · VEJ 3–1 HVI · HVI 1–1 VEJ

Form · last six in 1. Division

VEJLE

WWDWDD3–2 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 2–2

HVIDOVRE

WDWWDW2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hvidovre	9	+9	21
2	Vejle	9	+9	19
3	FC Fredericia	9	+6	14
4	Aarhus Fremad	9	+1	13
5	Aalborg	9	0	13
6	Hobro	9	−4	13
7	Vendsyssel FF	9	−4	10
8	AB Copenhagen	9	+1	9
9	Hillerød	9	−1	9
10	Kolding IF	9	−2	8
11	HB Koge	9	−6	7
12	Esbjerg	9	−9	5