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Vejle v Aarhus Fremad

Vejle
0–0Full time
Aarhus Fremad

1. Division · SAT 24 OCT · Vejle Stadion

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 20:17
Vejle 0–0 Aarhus Fremad VEJLE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Vejle win48%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.864
The market’s Brier score1.026

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vejle win at 48%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Vejle v Aarhus Fremad
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Vejle was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–25–27
  4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Vejle win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Vejle 0–0 Aarhus Fremad
  6. 45′SECOND HALF Vejle 0–0 Aarhus Fremad
  7. 50′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–40–23
  8. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Vejle win 38%)
  9. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–38–24
  10. 55′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
  11. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Vejle · On: G. Marcussen · Off: T. Bach
  12. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Aarhus Fremad · On: L. Ronnberg · Off: Y. Abdullahi
  13. 65′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
  14. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Vejle win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
  15. 71′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
  16. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Vejle · On: M. Jensen · Off: T. Gundelund
  17. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Vejle · On: B. Edjeodji · Off: W. Faghir
  18. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Aarhus Fremad · On: E. Egerton · Off: M. Ryberg
  19. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Aarhus Fremad · On: K. Lunding · Off: M. Kaastrup
  20. 76′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–67–13
  21. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' L. Nielsen · Vejle
  22. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Vejle win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
  23. 81′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–10
  24. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Aarhus Fremad · On: J. Beluli · Off: S. Andreasen
  25. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Vejle · On: M. Vestergaard · Off: L. Hetemi
  26. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Aarhus Fremad · On: S. Baekgard · Off: C. Nygaard
  27. 85′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
  28. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Vejle · On: A. Camara · Off: L. From
  29. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Vejle win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
  30. 91′We said Vejle at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
  31. FTFULL TIME Vejle 0–0 Aarhus Fremad
  32. FTVejle 0–0 Aarhus Fremad · Vejle win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vejle are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vejle 48%, draw 25%, Aarhus Fremad 27%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Vejle v Aarhus FremadBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Vejle win48%
Draw25%
Aarhus Fremad win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 12

VenueVejle Stadion

RefereeS. Aagerup

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vejle

Aarhus Fremad

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

Last match: 16 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Vejle11+922
6Aarhus Fremad11−114

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vejle winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
48% The market61%
Us48%
Market61%

We make Vejle a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Vejle v Aarhus Fremad1.68 – 1.19
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 30 AugW2 D3 L1 · W1 D3 L2
Table places · points 22 v 142 v 6
The market · Vejle win61% · ours 48%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:54
Our probability · Vejle win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Vejle win48%61%−13
Draw25%21%+4
Aarhus Fremad win27%17%+10
Over 2.5 goals54%59%−5
Both teams to score56%56%0
Over 1.5 goals78%80%−2
Over 3.5 goals32%38%−6
Vejle or draw73%83%−10
Vejle clean sheet31%––
Aarhus Fremad clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.5 6.3 4.1 1 9.1 11.7 6.7 2.7 2 7.9 9.2 5.5 2.2 3 4.5 5.2 3.1 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Vejle down, Aarhus Fremad across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting0.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsAAR 0–0 VEJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 30 Aug

VEJLE

DWDDLW0–0 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–0

AARHUS FREMAD

DWDLLD0–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Hvidovre12+1128
2Vejle11+922
3FC Fredericia12+1020
4AB Copenhagen12+518
5Hobro12−715
6Aarhus Fremad11−114
7Aalborg12−214
8Kolding IF12−212
9Hillerød12−312
10HB Koge12−511
11Vendsyssel FF12−711
12Esbjerg12−810

The competition's standings before kick-off.