Kolding IF v HB Koge prediction · 1. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kolding IFDrawHB Koge

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kolding IF 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kolding IF are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kolding IF 47%, draw 27%, HB Koge 27%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Kolding IF v HB KogeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Kolding IF win47%

Draw27%

HB Koge win27%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueAutocentralen Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kolding IF

HB Koge

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

Last match: 23 Oct · the Danish 1. Division

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Kolding IF	12	−2	12
10	HB Koge	12	−5	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kolding if winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Kolding IF a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kolding IF v HB Koge~~1.54 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~8 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kolding IF win	47%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
HB Koge win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Kolding IF or draw	73%	–	–
Kolding IF clean sheet	34%	–	–
HB Koge clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 8.0 7.3 4.3 1 10.5 12.6 6.5 2.4 2 8.5 9.1 5.0 3 4.4 4.7 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kolding IF down, HB Koge across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,032 1. Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.71 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kolding IF at home: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). HB Koge away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Kolding IF, 1.09 for HB Koge. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.71

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~5 of 7

~~Last meetings~~HBK 2–2 KOL · HBK 2–1 KOL · KOL 3–1 HBK · HBK 0–1 KOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 4 Sept

KOLDING IF

LDDDWL1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

HB KOGE

DDWWLD1–1 · 2–2 · 5–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hvidovre	12	+11	28
2	Vejle	12	+9	23
3	FC Fredericia	12	+10	20
4	AB Copenhagen	12	+5	18
5	Aarhus Fremad	12	−1	15
6	Hobro	12	−7	15
7	Aalborg	12	−2	14
8	Kolding IF	12	−2	12
9	Hillerød	12	−3	12
10	HB Koge	12	−5	11
11	Vendsyssel FF	12	−7	11
12	Esbjerg	12	−8	10