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Hillerød v FC Fredericia
1. Division · SAT 10 OCT · Helsingor Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Fredericia win at 42%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Hillerød v FC Fredericia
- 2′Little has changed for our model: FC Fredericia 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 32–26–42
- 16′FC Fredericia ahead on 15′ through F. Rieper. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–19–69
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Hillerød 0–1 FC Fredericia · F. Rieper
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' FC Fredericia win: 42% at kick-off, 69% now
- 18′We said FC Fredericia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 11–19–69
- 21′We said FC Fredericia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 10–20–71
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' FC Fredericia win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 45′A. Bondergaard scores for FC Fredericia on 45′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–93
- 45′We said FC Fredericia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–6–93
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 47' Hillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia · A. Bondergaard
- 45′HALF-TIME Hillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' FC Fredericia win: 42% at kick-off, 93% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Hillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hillerød · On: J. Sigurdsson · Off: F. Hogh Jensen
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hillerød · On: N. Schmidt · Off: M. Mouritz
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hillerød · On: H. Sulemana · Off: R. Corlu
- 54′We said FC Fredericia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' N. Schmidt · Hillerød
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hillerød · On: M. Munck · Off: S. Opoku
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC Fredericia · On: C. Jorgensen · Off: B. Bang-Kittilsen
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' O. Lauritsen · Hillerød
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' FC Fredericia · On: A. Dahl · Off: W. Madsen
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC Fredericia · On: E. Hansborg · Off: J. Lindekilde
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' FC Fredericia · On: A. Pyndt · Off: A. Nygaard
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Hillerød · On: W. Glindtvad · Off: S. Larsen
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' D. Haarbo · FC Fredericia
- 85′We said FC Fredericia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC Fredericia · On: N. Thomsen · Off: A. Bondergaard
- FTFULL TIME Hillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia
- FTHillerød 0–2 FC Fredericia · FC Fredericia win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 12:00
Venue · Helsingor Stadion
Referee · P. Gammelholm
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Hillerød
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Dithmer
13 S. Larsen
18 O. Lauritsen
7 J. Witt
17 M. Julo
20 B. Kucukylidiz
11 M. Mouritz
19 R. Corlu
8 T. Arndal
14 S. Opoku
24 F. Hogh Jensen
Coach · Christian Lonstrup
Substitutes
30 · A. Mortensen
25 · W. Glindtvad
3 · A. Oppenhagen
21 · K. Enghardt
12 · N. Schmidt
47 · M. Munck
10 · P. Kallsberg
23 · J. Sigurdsson
27 · H. Sulemana
FC Fredericia
Formation not confirmed
90 V. Birkso
12 S. Crone
3 A. Nygaard
5 F. Rieper
16 L. Dauerhoj
20 D. Haarbo
13 W. Madsen
8 B. Bang-Kittilsen
10 E. Simonsen
23 J. Lindekilde
19 A. Bondergaard
Coach · Michael Hansen
Substitutes
44 · C. Risom
14 · A. Dahl
15 · M. Ladefoged
22 · F. Bunten
18 · A. Pyndt
24 · C. Jorgensen
9 · P. Egelund
11 · E. Hansborg
17 · N. Thomsen
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Hillerød
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Dithmer
13 S. Larsen
18 O. Lauritsen
7 J. Witt
17 M. Julo
20 B. Kucukylidiz
11 M. Mouritz
19 R. Corlu
8 T. Arndal
14 S. Opoku
24 F. Hogh Jensen
Coach · Christian Lonstrup
Substitutes
30 · A. Mortensen
25 · W. Glindtvad
3 · A. Oppenhagen
21 · K. Enghardt
12 · N. Schmidt
47 · M. Munck
10 · P. Kallsberg
23 · J. Sigurdsson
27 · H. Sulemana
FC Fredericia
Formation not confirmed
90 V. Birkso
12 S. Crone
3 A. Nygaard
5 F. Rieper
16 L. Dauerhoj
20 D. Haarbo
13 W. Madsen
8 B. Bang-Kittilsen
10 E. Simonsen
23 J. Lindekilde
19 A. Bondergaard
Coach · Michael Hansen
Substitutes
44 · C. Risom
14 · A. Dahl
15 · M. Ladefoged
22 · F. Bunten
18 · A. Pyndt
24 · C. Jorgensen
9 · P. Egelund
11 · E. Hansborg
17 · N. Thomsen
We make FC Fredericia a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 22 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.5.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 61% to 64% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hillerød win | 31% | 16% | +15 |
| Draw | 27% | 20% | +7 |
| FC Fredericia win | 42% | 64% | −22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 65% | −14 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 59% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 83% | −7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 44% | −14 |
| Hillerød or draw | 58% | 36% | +22 |
| Hillerød clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| FC Fredericia clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2022Form · last six in 1. Division
HILLERØD
FC FREDERICIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 10 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Vejle | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Aalborg | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | −1 | 13 |
| 6 | Hobro | 9 | −4 | 13 |
| 7 | AB Copenhagen | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Vendsyssel FF | 9 | −4 | 10 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 9 | −1 | 9 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 9 | −2 | 8 |
| 11 | HB Koge | 9 | −6 | 7 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 9 | −9 | 5 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Hvidovre
Vejle
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
AB Copenhagen
Vendsyssel FF
Kolding IF
HB Koge
Esbjerg